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The Marlins Stigma

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The Miami Marlins walk off against the Phillies in game one of seven in a five-day-span, 9/10/2020. Photo Credit: Jim Rassol, USATODAY Sports

If you’re a Phillies fan – as I am – the simple mention of the “Marlins” – even out of context – sends you into a soul-shaking, shudder-starting, stuttering and stammering, and stumbling stream of massive panic.  

I wish it were without good reason. Yet, the Florida Marlins, the Miami Marlins, the Covid-19-era Marlins… all of the branches of that franchise have consistently and monstrously destroyed the Phillies, and it’s not just a matter of wins and losses – though Philadelphia is just 10-13 (.435) over the last two seasons, heck, they even lost 10 of 18 to the Fish during their World Series campaign in 2008 – it’s how they win. The Marlins never just beat the Phillies – they dramatize it. The Phillies are positively pummeled; and it so often beats them up on a larger scale.

Last night was no exception. The Phillies opened up a seven-game series against the Marlins last night with a loss. They had a three-run lead going into the eighth inning, before their very well-known bullpen allowed the Marlins to tie it up. With two outs. Two-out hits are every baseball fan’s favorite when their team hits them; every baseball fan’s devastation when their team gives them up.

So it’s never easy. It never seems to be an example of Phils’ fans saying “we pitched well, they just beat us.” Or, “our bats were competent, theirs were just better.” Not with the Marlins. The Phillies beat themselves. There is a serious stigma. It’s another kind of contagious. 

The Miami Marlins walk off against the Phillies in game one of seven during a five-day-span, 9/10/2020. Photo Credit: Jim Rassol, USATODAY Sports

And here they stand. During the strangest season, one that no imagination could conjure, Philadelphia has to face them seven times in five days. The Phillies are just three games behind a Braves team that is carrying a .591 winning percentage (and oh, that also scored 29 runs against the Marlins the day before Philly’s seven-game tussle). Meanwhile, the Marlins are suddenly Wildcard contenders. 

This series matters.

This isn’t the first time the Phillies have had to control their own destiny with the Fish hanging them on the line. One of my most begrudging memories is of the 2006 Phillies, all of Philadelphia and the greater areas had high hopes for making the playoffs in Ryan Howard’s MVP year. The Mets ran away with the division, but the Wildcard was well within reach. It was the Phillies or the Dodgers.

The Phillies’ hopes came down to the last series of the season, which was against, of course, the Marlins. Ironically, these were the Joe Girardi-led Marlins. On Oct. 1, 2006, the Marlins beat the Phillies, 3-2, during the only October baseball the Phils would play, while the Dodgers topped the Giants, 4-3. One-run losses are every baseball fan’s least favorite way to lose; one-run victories are every baseball fan’s favorite way to win.  

The Phillies ended the season with an 85-77 record. The Cardinals ended the season with an 83-78 record. The Phillies were percentage points away from the same record, and they didn’t make the playoffs.

The Cardinals won the World Series. 

Thanks to *sigh* – the Marlins.

Shane Bieber: the Bob Feller of 2020

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On this day, in 1939, Bob Feller became the youngest player in the modern era to reach 20 wins. I am a better writer than I am a statistician, but I did stop when I saw that on my calendar this morning. Feller was 20 years old when he reached 20 victories. 2020. And just like that, I’m a numbers person.  

With last week’s recollections and mass of memories of Tom Seaver and previous eras (and ERAs), the conversation about how baseball has transformed has heightened mightily. There are so many “Remember when a guy pitched more than five innings?”, or, “Remember how Cy Young won more games in a single season than any current starter has ever won in his entire career?” 

…I’m personally responsible for starting many of these. Baseball fans are insatiable. 

We’re not going to have that again. The times have changed. We all know this, and we also all have a tremendous time talking about it. Pitchers have developed differently now. What hasn’t been lost among the statistics and numbers and eras is, fortunately, the humanity of a ballplayer. We have not lost that feeling of admiration and respect and, in rare cases, that immense hope and joy when a pitcher takes the mound; not just because we’re confident he’ll win, but because we’re confident in him.  

In Feller’s era of World War II and an immense state of panic across the globe, he was an example of heroism and humanity in the same breath. On Dec. 7, 1941, the Japanese bombed Pearl Harbor. Bob Feller had a 3-C draft deferment, as he was the sole support of his household. He didn’t have to go right away; the deferment allowed him months to plan before going to war. And yet, two days after the event, he enlisted in the Navy. He was the first American professional athlete to enlist. And he didn’t have to. 

Bob Feller, visiting his teammates in 1942. Photo Credit: Zack Meisel, cleveland.com

In a different sort of worldwide outbreak, we have found different ways to cope via hope.  No one’s going off to war, but we are still fighting for what we live for. And Shane Bieber of the Cleveland Indians is a great example of a man who is maintaining that sense of audacity and hope in a beleaguered world.

Not only is Bieber a highlight reel for all of Major League Baseball with his season-long winning numbers and in-game mastery of manipulating every single pitch he executes, he is an immensely likable and charismatic personality. In a directionless society, he gives us something to mark our calendars for.

Shane Bieber, the 2019 All-Star MVP. Photo Credit: Jason Miller/Getty Images

In this shortened season, Bieber is 7-0 with a 1.25 ERA, with 94 strikeouts in 57.2 innings pitched. In 6 of 9 of his starts, he has struck out double-digit batters.

And, like Feller, he is always smiling.

This season, a Shane Bieber start is an event. Every curveball starts fireworks, every cutter starts a story line, every slider is a surprise.  

Bieber pitched five innings on Sunday night, and he took the win. Bob Feller pitched 279 complete games. The times have changed. The character has not. What a wonderful world to have something to look forward to, new characters to embrace, new dates to set for our future “on-this-day” calendars.  

“Blind Men Come to the Park Just to Hear Him Pitch”

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Tom Seaver. 

The true Tom Terrific.

The Franchise.  

Arguably, the reason the Mets can still call themselves “The Amazin’s.”

I was rushing around during a bartending shift when I came inside and saw the breaking news on the bottom line: “Tom Seaver has passed away at 75.”

75 isn’t young. Tom Seaver was a brilliant pitcher and a beautiful mind, and we know his mind suffered. His diagnosis of dementia went public in 2019, but it’s likely that his suffering was privately present long before.

So the shock that stopped me in my steps, maybe, should not have happened.

But… I loved Tom Seaver. He was the ultimate version of what I grew up knowing a Major League Baseball player could be, at each of their very best. He had tremendous talent and executed it throughout his career, but he was also a remarkably respectful man who loved his country, served in the Marine Corps, and was a good family man. He played 20 years in Major League Baseball, and not one of them was a disappointment. There were no lull years. He did not fade. 

Tom Seaver pitched from 1967 (Rookie of the Year) to 1986 for four different teams, the bulk of which was with the Mets. He won the Cy Young award in 1969, 1973, and 1975. He had a career 2.86 ERA, a 311-206 win-loss record, 61 shutouts, and 3,640 career strikeouts.  

And this statistic might one-up them all:  he had 231 complete games.  231 starts in any one pitching career is unheard of these days; he had 231 complete games. He is a supreme reminder of how magnificent that era of our sport was.

Seaver, in 1975, throwing his 200th strikeout of the season; this, against the Pirates. This was the eighth consecutive year he had 200+ strikeouts. (Photo credit: Newsday/Karen Wiles).

Seaver is the non-caricature Mr. Met. He is the Franchise. He is the best player the New York Mets ever had. He was the first dynamic player for the “other” New York team. The Yankees had DiMaggio, Mantle, Gehrig, Ruth, and a smorgasbord of personalities to love. Seaver was the Mets’ first, and still one of their best… No… He IS still their best. 

“I don’t wanna be a .500 ballplayer, I wanna be a winning ballplayer.”  In 1969, Seaver led the Mets to their first division title and eventual World Series victory. From July 8 to Aug. 10, he went 10-0. He transformed them from the lovable losers to the Miracle Mets. 

I’m always amazed by how much fun to watch he was, win or lose. The statistics stand, but some of his most incredible performances are not for the history books. My favorite example is among my most prized personal possessions; I have Seaver’s autograph on a black-and-white photograph with the caption “Seaver’s Near No-Hitter.”  There were several. He had five one-hitters with the Mets. “Mets being the Mets” has rarely resounded so mightily than by his tough-luck amazin’ performances.

On September 24, 1975, Joe Wallis of the Chicago Cubs broke up Seaver’s no-hit bid with two outs in the 9th, and the Mets went on to lose the game in 11 innings. And yet, that was one of the most exhilarating pitching performances we’ve ever seen. Seaver’s team lost. He did not get a no-hitter. And yet, he was truly and tremendously terrific to watch. 

And that; that mystifying might of mound presence, that somehow charismatic capture of every strikeout victim; that is what prompted Reggie Williams to say: “Blind men come to the park just to hear him pitch.” 

Clayton Kershaw, Game-By-Game Progressive Career ERA

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Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw watches a throw during the first inning of the team's baseball game against the San Francisco Giants on Saturday, Aug. 8, 2020, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)

For years now, I have been tracking Clayton Kershaw’s year-by-year progressive career earned run average – meaning his career ERA at the end of a given season or after his most recent start during a current season.

Clayton Kershaw pitching against the San Francisco Giants on Saturday, Aug. 8, 2020, in Los Angeles. (Photo Credit: Mark J. Terrill/AP Photo).

Often times, I receive rather outlandish requests on twitter – requests that I would need a hefty paycheck to undertake, but in the case of this one, I decided to make an exception, because my own curiosity had piqued, and because I consider Bryn Swartz to be a friend.

Below you will find a chart containing Clayton Kershaw’s progressive career earned run average, to thousandths place, on a game-by-game basis.

Game No. Date IP ER ERA ERA +/-
1 May 25, 2008 6 2 3.000 First Start
2 May 30, 2008 3.2 4 5.586 Increased
3 June 4, 2008 5 2 4.909 Decreased
4 June 10, 2008 5.1 2 4.500 Decreased
5 June 15, 2008 4 0 3.750 Decreased
6 June 20, 2008 5 4 4.345 Increased
7 June 26, 2008 4 2 4.364 Increased
8 July 1, 2008 5.2 3 4.422 Increased
9 July 22, 2008 3 5 5.184 Increased
10 July 27, 2008 6 0 4.531 Decreased
11 Aug. 1, 2008 6 0 4.025 Decreased
12 Aug. 7, 2008 7 1 3.709 Decreased
13 Aug. 12, 2008 6 3 3.780 Increased
14 Aug. 17, 2008 6 1 3.592 Decreased
15 Aug. 23, 2008 4 6 4.109 Increased
16 Aug. 28, 2008 2.1 5 4.557 Increased
17 Sept. 2, 2008 7 3 4.500 Decreased
18 Sept. 7, 2008 4 3 4.600 Increased
19 Sept. 13, 2008 6 1 4.406 Decreased
20 Sept. 18, 2008 5 1 4.277 Decreased
21 Sept. 24, 2008 5.2 3 4.303 Increased
22 Sept. 28, 2008 1 0 4.263 Decreased
23 April 9, 2009 5 1 4.154 Decreased
24 April 15, 2009 7 1 3.986 Decreased
25 April 21, 2009 4.1 6 4.282 Increased
26 April 26, 2009 4.2 9 4.756 Increased
27 May 1, 2009 7 0 4.511 Decreased
28 May 6, 2009 5 1 4.415 Decreased
29 May 12, 2009 5 4 4.510 Increased
30 May 17, 2009 7 1 4.362 Decreased
31 May 22, 2009 5 1 4.281 Decreased
32 May 27, 2009 6 3 4.289 Increased
33 June 4, 2009 5.1 2 4.260 Decreased
34 June 10, 2009 2.2 3 4.351 Increased
35 June 16, 2009 5.2 0 4.212 Decreased
36 June 21, 2009 7 0 4.052 Decreased
37 June 26, 2009 6 2 4.019 Decreased
38 July 1, 2009 5 0 3.916 Decreased
39 July 7, 2009 6 0 3.800 Decreased
40 July 12, 2009 6 1 3.733 Decreased
41 July 18, 2009 7 0 3.611 Decreased
42 July 24, 2009 6 2 3.595 Decreased
43 July 29, 2009 8 0 3.469 Decreased
44 Aug. 3, 2009 4 3 3.525 Increased
45 Aug. 8, 2009 7 0 3.422 Decreased
46 Aug. 14, 2009 4.1 4 3.509 Increased
47 Aug. 19, 2009 3.2 2 3.530 Increased
48 Aug. 25, 2009 6.1 2 3.512 Decreased
49 Aug. 30, 2009 7 2 3.487 Decreased
50 Sept. 4, 2009 6 1 3.443 Decreased
51 Sept. 22, 2009 2 0 3.417 Decreased
52 Sept. 27, 2009 4 2 3.433 Increased
53 October 3, 2009 6 0 3.359 Decreased
54 April 7, 2010 4.2 3 3.399 Increased
55 April 13, 2010 5.1 2 3.398 Decreased
56 April 18, 2010 7 1 3.348 Decreased
57 April 24, 2010 6 2 3.341 Decreased
58 April 29, 2010 6.1 2 3.331 Decreased
59 May 4, 2010 1.1 7 3.520 Increased
60 May 9, 2010 8 0 3.432 Decreased
61 May 15, 2010 7 1 3.385 Decreased
62 May 20, 2010 7.1 1 3.338 Decreased
63 May 25, 2010 6 0 3.278 Decreased
64 May 30, 2010 5 2 3.283 Increased
65 June 4, 2010 6.2 3 3.298 Increased
66 June 9, 2010 7 3 3.309 Increased
67 June 16, 2010 7.1 1 3.267 Decreased
68 June 22, 2010 6.2 5 3.329 Increased
69 June 27, 2010 7 2 3.315 Decreased
70 July 3, 2010 5.2 0 3.266 Decreased
71 July 8, 2010 8 2 3.246 Decreased
72 July 15, 2010 4.1 4 3.301 Increased
73 July 20, 2010 6 2 3.297 Decreased
74 July 25, 2010 8 0 3.232 Decreased
75 Aug. 1, 2010 7 2 3.221 Decreased
76 Aug. 6, 2010 6 6 3.303 Increased
77 Aug. 12, 2010 6.2 2 3.294 Decreased
78 Aug. 17, 2010 7 0 3.241 Decreased
79 Aug. 22, 2010 7 3 3.251 Increased
80 Aug. 27, 2010 6 1 3.227 Decreased
81 Sept. 1, 2010 6 2 3.224 Decreased
82 Sept. 7, 2010 7 2 3.214 Decreased
83 Sept. 14, 2010 9 0 3.153 Decreased
84 Sept. 19, 2010 4 4 3.202 Increased
85 Sept. 24, 2010 8 1 3.168 Decreased
86 March 31, 2011 7 0 3.122 Decreased
87 April 5, 2011 6 3 3.139 Increased
88 April 11, 2011 6.2 0 3.097 Decreased
89 April 16, 2011 4.2 5 3.158 Increased
90 April 21, 2011 8.2 3 3.157 Decreased
91 April 26, 2011 5.1 4 3.194 Increased
92 May 2, 2011 7 2 3.185 Decreased
93 May 8, 2011 6.2 1 3.163 Decreased
94 May 13, 2011 7 0 3.122 Decreased
95 May 18, 2011 5 4 3.159 Increased
96 May 23, 2011 6 1 3.141 Decreased
97 May 29, 2011 9 0 3.091 Decreased
98 June 4, 2011 6.2 6 3.149 Increased
99 June 9, 2011 6 6 3.211 Increased
100 June 14, 2011 7 1 3.187 Decreased
101 June 20, 2011 9 0 3.139 Decreased
102 June 26, 2011 9 2 3.122 Decreased
103 July 2, 2011 6 6 3.180 Increased
104 July 7, 2011 8 0 3.139 Decreased
105 July 15, 2011 7 0 3.103 Decreased
106 July 20, 2011 8 0 3.064 Decreased
107 July 26, 2011 6.2 2 3.060 Decreased
108 Aug. 1, 2011 9 2 3.045 Decreased
109 Aug. 7, 2011 6.1 4 3.071 Increased
110 Aug. 13, 2011 8 1 3.047 Decreased
111 Aug. 18, 2011 8 0 3.011 Decreased
112 Aug. 23, 2011 6 0 2.984 Decreased
113 Aug. 29, 2011 9 1 2.957 Decreased
114 Sept. 4, 2011 7 2 2.954 Decreased
115 Sept. 9, 2011 8 0 2.920 Decreased
116 Sept. 14, 2011 5 0 2.899 Decreased
117 Sept. 20, 2011 7.1 1 2.882 Decreased
118 Sept. 25, 2011 7.1 2 2.877 Decreased
119 April 5, 2012 3 0 2.865 Decreased
120 April 10, 2012 7 1 2.850 Decreased
121 April 15, 2012 5.1 3 2.866 Increased
122 April 21, 2012 7 0 2.839 Decreased
123 April 27, 2012 8 2 2.833 Decreased
124 May 2, 2012 7.1 5 2.865 Increased
125 May 8, 2012 8 2 2.858 Decreased
126 May 14, 2012 7 0 2.832 Decreased
127 May 19, 2012 9 0 2.799 Decreased
128 May 25, 2012 7 2 2.797 Decreased
129 May 30, 2012 5.2 5 2.834 Increased
130 June 4, 2012 7 3 2.843 Increased
131 June 9, 2012 7 3 2.852 Increased
132 June 15, 2012 6 4 2.875 Increased
133 June 21, 2012 8 1 2.858 Decreased
134 June 26, 2012 6 2 2.859 Increased
135 July 1, 2012 7 1 2.846 Decreased
136 July 6, 2012 5.1 5 2.882 Increased
137 July 13, 2012 6 1 2.872 Decreased
138 July 18, 2012 8 1 2.855 Decreased
139 July 24, 2012 5.2 8 2.921 Increased
140 July 29, 2012 9 0 2.890 Decreased
141 Aug. 4, 2012 7 1 2.877 Decreased
142 Aug. 10, 2012 6.1 2 2.877 Decreased
143 Aug. 15, 2012 8 3 2.882 Increased
144 Aug. 20, 2012 8 2 2.876 Decreased
145 Aug. 25, 2012 8 2 2.870 Decreased
146 Aug. 30, 2012 6 2 2.871 Increased
147 Sept. 4, 2012 7 1 2.859 Decreased
148 Sept. 11, 2012 7 0 2.837 Decreased
149 Sept. 23, 2012 5 1 2.832 Decreased
150 Sept. 28, 2012 8 0 2.808 Decreased
151 October 3, 2012 8 1 2.793 Decreased
152 April 1, 2013 9 0 2.767 Decreased
153 April 6, 2013 7 0 2.747 Decreased
154 April 12, 2013 7.1 3 2.754 Increased
155 April 17, 2013 5.1 3 2.767 Increased
156 April 23, 2013 5 2 2.771 Increased
157 April 28, 2013 8 0 2.748 Decreased
158 May 3, 2013 7 1 2.738 Decreased
159 May 8, 2013 7 1 2.728 Decreased
160 May 14, 2013 8.2 0 2.704 Decreased
161 May 20, 2013 9 1 2.689 Decreased
162 May 26, 2013 7 4 2.706 Increased
163 May 31, 2013 7 3 2.714 Increased
164 June 5, 2013 6 2 2.716 Increased
165 June 10, 2013 7 1 2.706 Decreased
166 June 15, 2013 7 1 2.697 Decreased
167 June 21, 2013 6 4 2.715 Increased
168 June 26, 2013 8 2 2.712 Decreased
169 July 2, 2013 9 0 2.689 Decreased
170 July 7, 2013 8 1 2.678 Decreased
171 July 12, 2013 7 3 2.685 Increased
172 July 21, 2013 7 2 2.684 Decreased
173 July 26, 2013 8 1 2.673 Decreased
174 July 31, 2013 8 0 2.654 Decreased
175 Aug. 6, 2013 6 2 2.656 Increased
176 Aug. 11, 2013 8 1 2.645 Decreased
177 Aug. 17, 2013 8 0 2.626 Decreased
178 Aug. 22, 2013 8 0 2.608 Decreased
179 Aug. 27, 2013 5.2 1 2.603 Decreased
180 Sept. 2, 2013 5 5 2.631 Increased
181 Sept. 8, 2013 7 2 2.630 Decreased
182 Sept. 13, 2013 7 2 2.630 Decreased
183 Sept. 21, 2013 7 0 2.614 Decreased
184 Sept. 27, 2013 6 0 2.601 Decreased
185 March 22, 2014 6.2 1 2.594 Decreased
186 May 6, 2014 7 0 2.579 Decreased
187 May 11, 2014 7 3 2.586 Increased
188 May 17, 2014 1.2 7 2.635 Increased
189 May 23, 2014 6 0 2.622 Decreased
190 May 28, 2014 7 3 2.629 Increased
191 June 2, 2014 8 2 2.626 Decreased
192 June 8, 2014 5 1 2.623 Decreased
193 June 13, 2014 7 1 2.615 Decreased
194 June 18, 2014 9 0 2.597 Decreased
195 June 24, 2014 8 0 2.580 Decreased
196 June 29, 2014 7 0 2.566 Decreased
197 July 4, 2014 8 0 2.549 Decreased
198 July 10, 2014 9 1 2.539 Decreased
199 July 20, 2014 7 3 2.546 Increased
200 July 26, 2014 9 0 2.528 Decreased
201 July 31, 2014 9 1 2.517 Decreased
202 Aug. 5, 2014 7 3 2.525 Increased
203 Aug. 10, 2014 8 1 2.516 Decreased
204 Aug. 16, 2014 9 3 2.519 Increased
205 Aug. 21, 2014 8 1 2.511 Decreased
206 Aug. 27, 2014 8 0 2.496 Decreased
207 Sept. 2, 2014 8 1 2.488 Decreased
208 Sept. 8, 2014 8 1 2.480 Decreased
209 Sept. 14, 2014 8 2 2.479 Decreased
210 Sept. 19, 2014 5 3 2.489 Increased
211 Sept. 24, 2014 8 1 2.481 Decreased
212 April 6, 2015 6 3 2.490 Increased
213 April 11, 2015 6.1 5 2.511 Increased
214 April 17, 2015 6 1 2.507 Decreased
215 April 22, 2015 6 2 2.509 Increased
216 April 28, 2015 7 2 2.509 Increased
217 May 4, 2015 7.1 3 2.515 Increased
218 May 10, 2015 5.2 5 2.537 Increased
219 May 15, 2015 6.2 3 2.544 Increased
220 May 21, 2015 7.1 4 2.556 Increased
221 May 26, 2015 7 0 2.544 Decreased
222 June 1, 2015 7 2 2.544 Increased
223 June 6, 2015 8 0 2.530 Decreased
224 June 12, 2015 6.2 1 2.524 Decreased
225 June 17, 2015 6 3 2.532 Increased
226 June 22, 2015 7 3 2.539 Increased
227 June 27, 2015 7 1 2.533 Decreased
228 July 3, 2015 7 1 2.527 Decreased
229 July 8, 2015 9 0 2.512 Decreased
230 July 18, 2015 8 0 2.498 Decreased
231 July 23, 2015 9 0 2.484 Decreased
232 Aug. 1, 2015 8 0 2.471 Decreased
233 Aug. 7, 2015 6 4 2.484 Increased
234 Aug. 12, 2015 8 0 2.472 Decreased
235 Aug. 18, 2015 7 1 2.466 Decreased
236 Aug. 23, 2015 8 1 2.459 Decreased
237 Aug. 28, 2015 8 1 2.452 Decreased
238 Sept. 2, 2015 9 1 2.444 Decreased
239 Sept. 8, 2015 7 1 2.439 Decreased
240 Sept. 14, 2015 7 1 2.434 Decreased
241 Sept. 19, 2015 7 3 2.440 Increased
242 Sept. 24, 2015 5 3 2.449 Increased
243 Sept. 29, 2015 9 0 2.436 Decreased
244 October 4, 2015 3.2 0 2.430 Decreased
245 April 4, 2016 7 0 2.420 Decreased
246 April 9, 2016 8 2 2.419 Decreased
247 April 15, 2016 7 2 2.419 Increased
248 April 21, 2016 8 1 2.413 Decreased
249 April 26, 2016 7 5 2.430 Increased
250 May 1, 2016 9 0 2.417 Decreased
251 May 7, 2016 7 2 2.418 Increased
252 May 12, 2016 9 0 2.405 Decreased
253 May 17, 2016 8 1 2.399 Decreased
254 May 23, 2016 9 0 2.386 Decreased
255 May 29, 2016 7.2 2 2.386 Decreased
256 June 4, 2016 6 0 2.377 Decreased
257 June 10, 2016 8 2 2.377 Decreased
258 June 15, 2016 7.1 2 2.377 Increased
259 June 20, 2016 7 1 2.373 Decreased
260 June 26, 2016 6 4 2.385 Increased
261 Sept. 9, 2016 3 2 2.391 Increased
262 Sept. 14, 2016 5 0 2.384 Decreased
263 Sept. 19, 2016 6 0 2.376 Decreased
264 Sept. 24, 2016 7 0 2.367 Decreased
265 October 1, 2016 7 2 2.368 Increased
266 April 3, 2017 7 1 2.363 Decreased
267 April 8, 2017 6 4 2.376 Increased
268 April 14, 2017 8.1 1 2.370 Decreased
269 April 19, 2017 7 2 2.370 Increased
270 April 25, 2017 7 1 2.366 Decreased
271 May 1, 2017 6 3 2.373 Increased
272 May 6, 2017 7.1 1 2.369 Decreased
273 May 12, 2017 7 2 2.369 Increased
274 May 17, 2017 7 0 2.360 Decreased
275 May 23, 2017 9 1 2.354 Decreased
276 May 28, 2017 4.1 4 2.368 Increased
277 June 2, 2017 7 1 2.364 Decreased
278 June 7, 2017 7 1 2.359 Decreased
279 June 13, 2017 7 2 2.360 Increased
280 June 19, 2017 6.1 6 2.381 Increased
281 June 24, 2017 6 0 2.374 Decreased
282 June 29, 2017 7 0 2.365 Decreased
283 July 4, 2017 7 0 2.356 Decreased
284 July 9, 2017 9 2 2.354 Decreased
285 July 18, 2017 7 0 2.346 Decreased
286 July 23, 2017 2 0 2.343 Decreased
287 Sept. 1, 2017 6 0 2.336 Decreased
288 Sept. 7, 2017 3.2 4 2.350 Increased
289 Sept. 12, 2017 6 1 2.347 Decreased
290 Sept. 18, 2017 6 4 2.359 Increased
291 Sept. 24, 2017 8 1 2.354 Decreased
292 Sept. 30, 2017 4 3 2.363 Increased
293 March 29, 2018 6 1 2.360 Decreased
294 April 3, 2018 6 2 2.362 Increased
295 April 8, 2018 7 1 2.358 Decreased
296 April 15, 2018 7 1 2.354 Decreased
297 April 20, 2018 7 4 2.364 Increased
298 April 25, 2018 5 3 2.372 Increased
299 May 1, 2018 6 2 2.374 Increased
300 May 31, 2018 5 1 2.372 Decreased
301 June 23, 2018 3 2 2.378 Increased
302 June 28, 2018 5 1 2.377 Decreased
303 July 3, 2018 6 2 2.378 Increased
304 July 9, 2018 6 0 2.371 Decreased
305 July 15, 2018 6.2 3 2.377 Increased
306 July 21, 2018 6 1 2.374 Decreased
307 July 27, 2018 7.2 1 2.370 Decreased
308 Aug. 2, 2018 6 2 2.372 Increased
309 Aug. 8, 2018 6 2 2.373 Increased
310 Aug. 13, 2018 8 1 2.368 Decreased
311 Aug. 19, 2018 7 1 2.365 Decreased
312 Aug. 25, 2018 8 2 2.364 Decreased
313 Sept. 1, 2018 7 2 2.365 Increased
314 Sept. 7, 2018 6 2 2.367 Increased
315 Sept. 13, 2018 6 3 2.373 Increased
316 Sept. 18, 2018 7 1 2.369 Decreased
317 Sept. 24, 2018 6 3 2.376 Increased
318 Sept. 29, 2018 5 5 2.391 Increased
319 April 15, 2019 7 2 2.392 Increased
320 April 21, 2019 6 2 2.394 Increased
321 April 27, 2019 7 1 2.390 Decreased
322 May 3, 2019 6 3 2.396 Increased
323 May 8, 2019 6.2 4 2.405 Increased
324 May 14, 2019 7 3 2.410 Increased
325 May 21, 2019 6.1 2 2.411 Increased
326 May 27, 2019 6 3 2.417 Increased
327 June 1, 2019 7 0 2.409 Decreased
328 June 7, 2019 7 2 2.410 Increased
329 June 13, 2019 6 3 2.416 Increased
330 June 18, 2019 7 0 2.408 Decreased
331 June 24, 2019 6 4 2.418 Increased
332 June 29, 2019 7 4 2.427 Increased
333 July 5, 2019 7 1 2.423 Decreased
334 July 15, 2019 6 1 2.420 Decreased
335 July 20, 2019 6 0 2.414 Decreased
336 July 27, 2019 6 2 2.415 Increased
337 Aug. 1, 2019 6 2 2.417 Increased
338 Aug. 6, 2019 7 1 2.413 Decreased
339 Aug. 14, 2019 7 0 2.406 Decreased
340 Aug. 20, 2019 6 3 2.411 Increased
341 Aug. 25, 2019 7 3 2.416 Increased
342 Aug. 31, 2019 5 5 2.431 Increased
343 Sept. 6, 2019 4 3 2.438 Increased
344 Sept. 13, 2019 6.1 2 2.439 Increased
345 Sept. 20, 2019 6 4 2.449 Increased
346 Sept. 26, 2019 6 0 2.442 Decreased
347 Sept. 29, 2019 1 0 2.441 Decreased
348 Aug. 2, 2020 5.2 0 2.435 Decreased
349 Aug. 8, 2020 4.1 4 2.446 Increased
350 Aug. 14, 2020 7 1 2.443 Decreased
351 Aug. 20, 2020 7 1 2.439 Decreased
352 Aug. 27, 2020 6 0 2.433 Decreased
353 Sept. 3, 2020 6 0 2.427 Decreased
354 Sept. 9, 2020 5 3 2.433 Increased
355 Sept. 14, 2020 6.1 3 2.438 Increased
356 Sept. 19, 2020 7 1 2.435 Decreased
357 Sept. 25, 2020 4 1 2.434 Decreased

 

Kershaw has pitched in 353 career games, three of which were relief appearances, his career earned run average increased after 132of them and decreased after 224 of them (with the remaining game being the first start of his career).

This was a fun and a relatively quick and easy project, but, with apologies to Bryn, someone is going to have to pay me if you want to see this inning-by-inning or pitch-by-pitch.

Alex Dickerson Becomes the 15th Player in History With Five Extra-Base Hits in a Game – the Full List

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San Francisco Giants’ Alex Dickerson tied a major league record with five extra-base hits in the 23-5 rout of the Rockies this evening. Below you will find the complete list of those with whom he shares the record.

Alex Dickerson’s first of three home runs and five extra-base hits against the Rockies on Sept. 1, 2020 (Photo Credit: David Zalubowski/Associated Press).

Sept. 2, 2020 – Giants’ Alex Dickerson
July 20, 2018 – Cardinals’ Matt Carpenter
Sept. 3, 2017 – Indians’ Jose Ramirez

Stats aside: Jose Ramirez stands alone as the only player to do so with extra-base hits from both sides of the plate. He could have had an opportunity to become the only player with six extra-base hits in a game, but Gio Urshela pinch ran for him after his fifth extra-base hit, an eighth inning double, Urshela would come to the plate and walk in the ninth inning.

June 27, 2016 – Chicago Cubs’ Kris Bryant
Aug. 15, 2015 – Boston Red Sox’ Jackie Bradley Jr.
May 8, 2012 – Texas Rangers’ Josh Hamilton
July 30, 2008 – Cleveland Indians’ Kelly Shoppach
May 23, 2002 – Los Angeles Dodgers’ Shawn Green
Aug. 28, 1977 – Los Angeles Dodgers’ Steve Garvey
Aug. 1, 1970 – Pittsburgh Pirates’ Willie Stargell
July 31, 1954 – Milwaukee Braves’ Joe Adcock
July 14, 1946 – Cleveland Indians’ Lou Boudreau (Game One of a doubleheader; Player-Manager)
Aug. 15, 1889 – Cleveland Spiders’ Larry Twitchell
July 9, 1885 – Chicago White Stockings’ George Gore
June 25, 1885 – Philadelphia Athletics’ George Strief (American Association)

Five Homers, Two Games… Jose Abreu Joins Elite List

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Tonight, Jose Abreu became the first player in White Sox franchise history to hit five home runs over a two-game span… a tweet that I had sent earlier this evening, to which I received the response “I’d imagine that hasn’t happened too many times.”

Initially, I responded with the most recent times that it had happened, saying “Ever? More than you’d think, I’d bet. I don’t feel like putting the effort to figure it out, but here are the most recent cases…

Jose Abreu connects on his fourth of five home runs in two games (Photo Credit: Jeff Haynes/AP Sports)

Alas, I am cursed, and after about four minutes, I just had to know, I had to figure it out.

My curse is your entertainment…

Players to hit five home runs over a two-game span:

Aug. 22-23, 2020 – White Sox’ Jose Abreu
Sept. 14-15, 2019 – Dodgers’ Yasiel Puig
Sept. 2-4, 2018 – Diamondbacks’ J.D. Martinez (DNP on Sept. 3rd; four-homer game on Sept. 4th)
May 31-June 1, 2016 – Red Sox’ Mookie Betts
May 6-8, 2015 – Nationals’ Bryce Harper (no game on May 7th)
Aug. 9-10, 2013 – Athletics’ Josh Reddick
May 7-8, 2012 – Rangers’ Josh Hamilton (four-homer game on May 8th)
July 19-20, 2004 – Indians’ Travis Hafner
Aug. 17-18, 2002 – Rangers’ Alex Rodriguez
July 21-23, 2002 – Red Sox’ Nomar Garciaparra (no game on July 22nd)
May 23-24, 2002 – Dodgers’ Shawn Green (four-homer game on May 23rd)

Stats aside: Green is one of the more remarkable cases here, as he hit four homers on May 23, 2002, one the next game, and two the game after that. He was held homerless the game prior to his four-homer performance, but had a two-homer game just before that. In all, he hit seven home runs over a three-game span and nine home runs over a five-game span. His five-game slugging percentage was 2.095; his three-game slugging percentage was 2.538.

May 19-20, 2001 – Giants’ Barry Bonds
April 28-29, 2001 – Brewers’ Geoff Jenkins
May 17-18, 1999 – Mariners’ Edgar Martinez
Sept. 15-16, 1998 – Indians’ Manny Ramirez
April 25-26, 1997 – Indians’ Matt Williams
Sept. 18-19, 1995 – Indians’ Albert Belle
June 10-11, 1995 – Athletics’ Mark McGwire
Sept. 3-4, 1985 – Mets’ Gary Carter
July 27-28, 1979 – Cubs’ Dave Kingman
May 19-20, 1976 – Red Sox’ Carl Yastrzemski
April 17-18, 1976 – Phillies’ Mike Schmidt (four-homer game on April 17th)
Aug. 1, 1972 – Padres’ Nate Colbert (doubleheader)
Sept. 8-10, 1968 – Cubs’ Billy Williams (no game on Sept. 9th)
July 30-31, 1954 – Braves’ Joe Adcock (four-homer game on July 31st)
May 2, 1954 – Cardinals’ Stan Musial (doubleheader)
Sept. 1-2, 1951 – Giants’ Don Mueller
Sept. 11-12, 1947 – Pirates’ Ralph Kiner
Aug. 15-16, 1947 – Pirates’ Ralph Kiner
May 23-24, 1947 – Yankees’ Tony Lazzeri
May 5-6, 1925 – Tigers’ Ty Cobb
Aug. 5-6, 1884 – White Stockings’ Cap Anson

Stats aside: The White Stockings played their home games at Lakefront Park in 1884, that season, it had dimensions that would make a modern day little leaguer salivate: 180 feet to the left field foul pole, 280 feet to the left-center, 300 feet to center field, 252 feet to right-center, and 196 feet to the right field foul pole. Previously, balls hit over the fence were automatic doubles, but not in 1884. Anson hit all but one of his 21 home runs that season at home. 

Perhaps what was most surprising for me in putting together this list was that only four of the 18 players to hit four home runs in a single game managed to hit even just one in the game before or the game after… though Bobby Lowe came close in 1894, when he homered off Charlie Petty on May 28, 1894, then hit four-homers off Elton Chamberlain on the day of his Beaneaters’ very next game, May 30, 1894; however, he did so in the second game of a twin bill, being held homerless in the first game.

And for the record, no player has ever hit six home runs over a two-game span, yet…

Discovered by the Germans in 1904, They Named It “San Diego,” Which of Course in German Means “Grand Slam”

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The Padres became the first team in baseball history to hit a grand slam in four straight games, here is a complete list of their total grand slams by season… with a few fun tidbits along the way.

Photo Credit: Tom Pennington/Getty Images

2020 – 6

Stats aside: Fernando Tatis’s grand slam, swinging on a 3-0 count with the Padres holding seven runs, on Aug. 17, 2020, is the largest lead a player has hit a grand slam while swinging 3-0 since pinch count data has become readily available (1988)… and it was awesome.

2019 – 4
2018 – 4
2017 – 1
2016 – 3
2015 – 5
2014 – 3
2013 – 2
2012 – 4
2011 – 3
2010 – 5
2009 – 1
2008 – 1
2007 – 4
2006 – 2
2005 – 4
2004 – 1

Stats aside: With the Padres leading the Dodgers, 1-0, and the bases loaded in the top of the 5th inning, Phil Nevin hit a 1-1 pitch from Hideo Nomo out for his seventh career grand slam – he remains the franchise’s all-time leader.

2003 – 3

Stats aside: On June 20, 2003, Rondell White was facing Jeff Nelson with the bases loaded, two outs, two strikes, and the Padres trailing the Mariners, 3-1. He hit a deep flyball to left field to score Mark Kotsay, Mark Loretta, and Ryan Klesko – the only time in franchise history that a player hit a walk-off grand slam with the Padres down to their last strike.

2002 – 5
2001 – 10 (franchise record)

Oct. 6 – Phil Nevin
Sept. 27 – Phil Nevin
Sept. 1 – Ray Lankford
Aug. 25 – Bubba Trammell
Aug. 2 – Ryan Klesko
July 28 – Phil Nevin
July 14 – Damian Jackson
July 4 – Bubba Trammell
June 14 – Phil Nevin
May 1 – Ben Davis

2000 – 4
1999 – 1

Stats aside: all three of Tony Gwynn’s career grand slams were go-ahead grand slams with the Padres either trailing or tied – Mr. Padre made them count. Aug. 22, 1995, off Tommy Greene with the Padres trailing the Phillies, 3-0, in the top of the 5th inning; June 26, 1997, off Mark Guthrie with the Padres and the Dodgers tied, 4-4, in the top of the 7th inning; Aug. 4, 1999, off Ken Mercker with the Padres trailing the Cardinals, 3-2, in the top of the 5th inning.

1998 – 4
1997 – 3

Stats aside: The Friars first grand slam of 1997 was a go-ahead, inside-the-park grand slam by Tony Gwynn, scoring on the play was a roll call of stars – Greg Vaughn, Rickey Henderson, and Steve Finley… but here is where it gets fun: this was Tony Gwynn’s second career inside-the-park homer, he would finish his career with more inside-the-park home runs than the Man of Steal, who had just one. And just to continue down the wormhole, unrelated to slams, Gwynn stole a career-high five bases on Sept. 20, 1986. At that point he had higher single-game stolen base total than Rickey, as he is wont to do, would be outdone by no one when it came to thefts, not even Mr. Padre, and he stole five of his own in a game on July 29, 1989, a game in which he went 0-for-0 with four walks and five stolen bases, but stole each base while the Athletics were trailing at least eight runs and as many as 12 runs at the time of his five swipes.

1996 – 6
1995 – 9

Stats aside: Bip Roberts hit the first ever walk-off grand slam in franchise history on May 20, 1995 – with the Padres trailing the Pirates, 6-5, with two out in the bottom of the 9th inning, he took Dan Miceli’s first pitch deep, scoring Andujar Cedeno, Ray Holbert, and Melvin Nieves, earning Fernando Valenzuela his first career win as a member of the Padres.

1994 – 4
1993 – 2
1992 – 4
1991 – 4
1990 – 4
1989 – 5
1988 – 3
1987 – 0
1986 – 1
1985 – 4
1984 – 2
1983 – 4
1982 – 0
1981 – 1
1980 – 1
1979 – 0
1978 – 1
1977 – 4
1976 – 3
1975 – 2

Stats aside: San Diego tallied just four grand slams between 1974 and 1975, half of them were hit by Willie McCovey… he hit 18 career grand slams, and in 121 career games against the Padres, he hit none.

1974 – 2
1973 – 0
1972 – 3
1971 – 2
1970 – 3

Stats aside: Mike Corkins became the first, and remains the only, pitcher in franchise history to hit a grand slam, taking Jim Merritt of the Reds deep to put San Diego ahead 7-0. Corkins and the Padres would hold on to beat the Reds narrowly, 15-2.

1969 – 4

Stats aside: First ever grand slam in franchise history came on May 2, 1969, by pinch-hitter Al Ferrera against Cincinnati’s George Culver at Crosley Field.

 

This list made easy by stathead, the most powerful research tool in sports.

Relative On-Base Percentage

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I am working on some league-adjusted numbers. Below you will find 2019 on-base percentage for qualified batters relative to the major league average (without pitchers) – shown as a percentage above league average, e.g. Mike Trout led with an on-base percentage that is 34.0 percent better than league average.

(Photo credit: Norm Hall/Getty Images)
Player Tm G DE- TOB OBP lgDE- lgTOB lgOBP rOBP
Mike Trout LAA 134 600 263 0.438 180880 59176 0.327 34.0%
Christian Yelich MIL 130 580 249 0.429 180880 59176 0.327 31.2%
Alex Bregman HOU 156 690 292 0.423 180880 59176 0.327 29.4%
Anthony Rendon WSN 146 646 266 0.412 180880 59176 0.327 25.9%
Cody Bellinger LAD 156 660 268 0.406 180880 59176 0.327 24.1%
Anthony Rizzo CHC 146 613 248 0.405 180880 59176 0.327 23.7%
Juan Soto WSN 150 659 264 0.401 180880 59176 0.327 22.5%
Carlos Santana CLE 158 686 272 0.397 180880 59176 0.327 21.2%
Nelson Cruz MIN 120 520 204 0.392 180880 59176 0.327 19.9%
Mookie Betts BOS 150 706 276 0.391 180880 59176 0.327 19.5%
Freddie Freeman ATL 158 692 269 0.389 180880 59176 0.327 18.8%
Ketel Marte ARI 144 628 244 0.389 180880 59176 0.327 18.8%
Jeff McNeil NYM 133 567 218 0.384 180880 59176 0.327 17.5%
Xander Bogaerts BOS 155 698 268 0.384 180880 59176 0.327 17.4%
George Springer HOU 122 556 213 0.383 180880 59176 0.327 17.1%
J.D. Martinez BOS 146 656 251 0.383 180880 59176 0.327 17.0%
Kris Bryant CHC 147 634 242 0.382 180880 59176 0.327 16.7%
Yasmani Grandal MIL 153 632 240 0.380 180880 59176 0.327 16.1%
Josh Donaldson ATL 155 659 250 0.379 180880 59176 0.327 16.0%
Nolan Arenado COL 155 662 251 0.379 180880 59176 0.327 15.9%
Luke Voit NYY 118 510 193 0.378 180880 59176 0.327 15.7%
Bryan Reynolds PIT 134 546 206 0.377 180880 59176 0.327 15.3%
DJ LeMahieu NYY 145 654 245 0.375 180880 59176 0.327 14.5%
Max Muncy LAD 141 589 220 0.374 180880 59176 0.327 14.2%
Bryce Harper PHI 157 682 254 0.372 180880 59176 0.327 13.8%
Michael Brantley HOU 148 637 237 0.372 180880 59176 0.327 13.7%
Justin Turner LAD 135 549 204 0.372 180880 59176 0.327 13.6%
Shin-Soo Choo TEX 151 660 245 0.371 180880 59176 0.327 13.5%
Marcus Semien OAK 162 747 276 0.369 180880 59176 0.327 12.9%
Tommy Pham TBR 145 654 241 0.369 180880 59176 0.327 12.6%
Yoan Moncada CHW 132 558 205 0.367 180880 59176 0.327 12.3%
Josh Bell PIT 143 613 225 0.367 180880 59176 0.327 12.2%
Ronald Acuna Jr. ATL 156 712 260 0.365 180880 59176 0.327 11.6%
Adam Eaton WSN 151 647 236 0.365 180880 59176 0.327 11.5%
Charlie Blackmon COL 140 634 231 0.364 180880 59176 0.327 11.4%
Rhys Hoskins PHI 160 703 256 0.364 180880 59176 0.327 11.3%
Austin Meadows TBR 138 591 215 0.364 180880 59176 0.327 11.2%
Trey Mancini BAL 154 679 247 0.364 180880 59176 0.327 11.2%
Trevor Story COL 145 656 238 0.363 180880 59176 0.327 10.9%
Michael Conforto NYM 151 648 235 0.363 180880 59176 0.327 10.9%
Kolten Wong STL 148 543 196 0.361 180880 59176 0.327 10.3%
Rafael Devers BOS 156 701 253 0.361 180880 59176 0.327 10.3%
Eugenio Suarez CIN 159 662 237 0.358 180880 59176 0.327 9.4%
Pete Alonso NYM 161 693 248 0.358 180880 59176 0.327 9.4%
Tim Anderson CHW 123 518 185 0.357 180880 59176 0.327 9.2%
Joey Votto CIN 142 608 217 0.357 180880 59176 0.327 9.1%
Jorge Polanco MIN 153 702 250 0.356 180880 59176 0.327 8.9%
Jorge Soler KCR 162 676 239 0.354 180880 59176 0.327 8.1%
Kevin Newman PIT 130 529 187 0.353 180880 59176 0.327 8.1%
Trea Turner WSN 122 569 201 0.353 180880 59176 0.327 8.0%
Jose Altuve HOU 124 547 193 0.353 180880 59176 0.327 7.8%
Ozzie Albies ATL 160 702 247 0.352 180880 59176 0.327 7.5%
Wilson Ramos NYM 141 524 184 0.351 180880 59176 0.327 7.3%
Matt Olson OAK 127 547 192 0.351 180880 59176 0.327 7.3%
David Fletcher LAA 154 652 228 0.350 180880 59176 0.327 6.9%
Whit Merrifield KCR 162 735 256 0.348 180880 59176 0.327 6.5%
Christian Walker ARI 152 603 210 0.348 180880 59176 0.327 6.5%
Hunter Dozier KCR 139 586 204 0.348 180880 59176 0.327 6.4%
Miguel Cabrera DET 136 549 190 0.346 180880 59176 0.327 5.8%
Paul Goldschmidt STL 161 680 235 0.346 180880 59176 0.327 5.6%
Dexter Fowler STL 150 573 198 0.346 180880 59176 0.327 5.6%
Alex Gordon KCR 150 632 218 0.345 180880 59176 0.327 5.4%
Ryan Braun MIL 144 504 173 0.343 180880 59176 0.327 4.9%
Yuli Gurriel HOU 144 612 210 0.343 180880 59176 0.327 4.9%
Andrew Benintendi BOS 138 612 210 0.343 180880 59176 0.327 4.9%
Jason Heyward CHC 147 589 202 0.343 180880 59176 0.327 4.8%
Starling Marte PIT 132 584 200 0.342 180880 59176 0.327 4.7%
Asdrubal Cabrera TOT 131 514 176 0.342 180880 59176 0.327 4.7%
Brian Anderson MIA 126 520 178 0.342 180880 59176 0.327 4.6%
Matt Chapman OAK 156 670 229 0.342 180880 59176 0.327 4.5%
Daniel Vogelbach SEA 144 558 190 0.341 180880 59176 0.327 4.1%
Kyle Schwarber CHC 155 610 207 0.339 180880 59176 0.327 3.7%
Brandon Belt SFG 156 616 209 0.339 180880 59176 0.327 3.7%
Jonathan Villar BAL 162 711 241 0.339 180880 59176 0.327 3.6%
Joc Pederson LAD 149 514 174 0.339 180880 59176 0.327 3.5%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR 123 514 174 0.339 180880 59176 0.327 3.5%
Nicholas Castellanos TOT 151 664 224 0.337 180880 59176 0.327 3.1%
Gleyber Torres NYY 144 603 203 0.337 180880 59176 0.327 2.9%
Adam Frazier PIT 152 604 203 0.336 180880 59176 0.327 2.7%
Max Kepler MIN 134 596 200 0.336 180880 59176 0.327 2.6%
Francisco Lindor CLE 143 653 219 0.335 180880 59176 0.327 2.5%
Corey Seager LAD 134 541 181 0.335 180880 59176 0.327 2.3%
Manny Machado SDP 156 661 221 0.334 180880 59176 0.327 2.2%
Cesar Hernandez PHI 161 667 222 0.333 180880 59176 0.327 1.7%
Avisail Garcia TBR 125 530 176 0.332 180880 59176 0.327 1.5%
Miguel Rojas MIA 132 525 174 0.331 180880 59176 0.327 1.3%
José Abreu CHW 159 693 229 0.330 180880 59176 0.327 1.0%
Hanser Alberto BAL 139 547 180 0.329 180880 59176 0.327 0.6%
Ryan McMahon COL 141 538 177 0.329 180880 59176 0.327 0.6%
Mike Moustakas MIL 143 584 192 0.329 180880 59176 0.327 0.5%
Domingo Santana SEA 121 505 166 0.329 180880 59176 0.327 0.5%
Marcell Ozuna STL 130 549 180 0.328 180880 59176 0.327 0.2%
J.T. Realmuto PHI 145 592 194 0.328 180880 59176 0.327 0.2%
Yasiel Puig TOT 149 611 200 0.327 180880 59176 0.327 0.1%
Jose Ramirez CLE 129 542 177 0.327 180880 59176 0.327 -0.2%
Victor Robles WSN 155 611 199 0.326 180880 59176 0.327 -0.4%
Brett Gardner NYY 141 550 179 0.325 180880 59176 0.327 -0.5%
Dansby Swanson ATL 127 544 177 0.325 180880 59176 0.327 -0.5%
Kole Calhoun LAA 152 631 205 0.325 180880 59176 0.327 -0.7%
Evan Longoria SFG 129 508 165 0.325 180880 59176 0.327 -0.7%
Lorenzo Cain MIL 148 622 202 0.325 180880 59176 0.327 -0.7%
Danny Santana TEX 130 510 165 0.324 180880 59176 0.327 -1.1%
Amed Rosario NYM 157 653 211 0.323 180880 59176 0.327 -1.2%
Jean Segura PHI 144 617 199 0.323 180880 59176 0.327 -1.4%
Colin Moran PIT 149 503 162 0.322 180880 59176 0.327 -1.6%
Christian Vazquez BOS 138 518 166 0.320 180880 59176 0.327 -2.0%
Eduardo Escobar ARI 158 699 224 0.320 180880 59176 0.327 -2.0%
Josh Reddick HOU 141 546 174 0.319 180880 59176 0.327 -2.6%
Paul DeJong STL 159 664 211 0.318 180880 59176 0.327 -2.9%
José Iglesias CIN 146 529 168 0.318 180880 59176 0.327 -2.9%
Yolmer Sanchez CHW 149 548 174 0.318 180880 59176 0.327 -2.9%
Jackie Bradley Jr. BOS 147 564 179 0.317 180880 59176 0.327 -3.0%
Willy Adames TBR 152 581 184 0.317 180880 59176 0.327 -3.2%
Nick Ahmed ARI 158 624 197 0.316 180880 59176 0.327 -3.5%
Javier Baez CHC 138 561 177 0.316 180880 59176 0.327 -3.6%
Eloy Jimenez CHW 122 504 159 0.315 180880 59176 0.327 -3.6%
Elvis Andrus TEX 147 648 203 0.313 180880 59176 0.327 -4.2%
Adam Jones ARI 137 527 165 0.313 180880 59176 0.327 -4.3%
Renato Nunez BAL 151 599 186 0.311 180880 59176 0.327 -5.1%
Eric Hosmer SDP 160 667 207 0.310 180880 59176 0.327 -5.1%
Franmil Reyes TOT 150 548 170 0.310 180880 59176 0.327 -5.2%
Leury Garcia CHW 140 607 188 0.310 180880 59176 0.327 -5.3%
Albert Pujols LAA 131 545 166 0.305 180880 59176 0.327 -6.9%
Jason Kipnis CLE 121 506 154 0.304 180880 59176 0.327 -7.0%
Brandon Crawford SFG 147 560 170 0.304 180880 59176 0.327 -7.2%
Jurickson Profar OAK 139 518 156 0.301 180880 59176 0.327 -7.9%
Starlin Castro MIA 162 676 203 0.300 180880 59176 0.327 -8.2%
Eddie Rosario MIN 137 590 177 0.300 180880 59176 0.327 -8.3%
Mallex Smith SEA 134 564 169 0.300 180880 59176 0.327 -8.4%
Freddy Galvis TOT 147 588 174 0.296 180880 59176 0.327 -9.5%
Khris Davis OAK 133 533 156 0.293 180880 59176 0.327 -10.5%
Kevin Pillar TOT 161 645 185 0.287 180880 59176 0.327 -12.3%
Orlando Arcia MIL 152 544 154 0.283 180880 59176 0.327 -13.5%
Rougned Odor TEX 145 580 164 0.283 180880 59176 0.327 -13.6%
Randal Grichuk TOR 151 628 176 0.280 180880 59176 0.327 -14.3%

This is simply a beta run – and to be honest, I am not even sure if anyone else has ever done this – but my intention is to eventually adjust by position and then by every individual pitcher faced in each plate appearance; however, at least for on-base percentage, I do not think that I will use a ballpark factor; though, I may consider it.

End state will be to provide these numbers – likely others, e.g. home run percentage – both historically, daily in season, and eventually live… if I can manage to figure that one out.

Any feedback (or help) is more than welcome, if you haven’t done so yet, please tweet me or comment below by signing up for the site – it is still free, for now…

Thank you!

Days on Which Vlad Guerrero and Fernando Tatís Both Hit Home Runs

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June 25, 2021 – Juniors (Tatís with three)
June 13, 2021 – Juniors
June 12, 2021 – Juniors
May 21, 2021 – Juniors (Vlad with two)
April 4, 2021 – Juniors
July 28, 2020 – Juniors
July 30, 2019 – Juniors
July 27, 2019 – Juniors
July 20, 2019 – Juniors
June 29, 2019 – Juniors
April 19, 2003 – Seniors (teammates)
July 1, 2002 – Seniors (teammates)
July 13, 2000 – Seniors (Tatís with two)
April 26, 2000 – Seniors
April 21, 2000 – Seniors (Vlad with two)
April 6, 2000 – Seniors
Oct. 1, 1999 – Seniors
Sept. 21, 1999 – Seniors
Sept. 15, 1999 – Seniors
Aug. 13, 1999 – Seniors
July 22, 1999 – Seniors (Tatís with two)
July 10, 1999 – Seniors
June 29, 1999 – Seniors
May 22, 1999 – Seniors
May 4, 1999 – Seniors
April 23, 1999 – Seniors (Tatís, two grand slams in one inning game)
April 5, 1999 – Seniors
Aug. 28, 1998 – Seniors
Aug. 14, 1998 – Seniors

Head Game: Projecting this Weird 2020 Season with Help from a Sports Psychologist

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Baseball is back, but things have changed. Maybe you’ve noticed.

Ronald Acuna Jr. during batting practice at Coors Field (via Kamen Guentchev at Wiki Commons).

Remember when the notion of a National League DH, playoff expansion, and pitch timers made baseball traditionalists spit out their Cracker Jack? How quaint.

We just spent three months cheering on marbles and watching the world’s greatest athletes play video games. The best sports all quarantine was probably a toss-up between the Jordan documentary and The Floor is Lava on Netflix. None of this stuff really ever came close to the methadone we required to get us through the tough times. Are we the same sports fans we once were? I’m not sure. I’m scared.

I used to instinctively turn on ESPN whenever I picked up the remote. Now, I wonder — how did the hosts on all those debate shows consistently have opposite opinions from one another on every single topic? How many of Stephen A. Smith’s “quite franklies” were (gulp) never quite frankly at all? I never pondered these things before. I never had to. I just let the morphine drip. I see clearly now — well, technically my vision’s a little blurry due to high cholesterol, since the country outlawed exercise and Chester Cheetah became my certified emotional support animal.

It’s been a long strange trip, but today, Major League Baseball is back. We could argue the merits of the new rules ad nauseam, but I’m not really interested in all of that. As I try to project the 2020 season, and maybe put in a few futures bets, it’s not the added baserunner in extra innings, or the DH tacked on to NL rosters that is moving my needle. Rather, what has me curious is what has been taken away from the game:

YOU!

With no fans in the stands, ballplayers will find themselves playing real-life baseball in long-forgotten conditions. They’re facing a kind of quiet they probably haven’t experienced since those inconvenient weekday Little League games, when the only crowd consisted of the carpool parent with a thermos of Tito’s, and that weird guy, Brian, who didn’t have a kid on the team.

We don’t know what to expect, but neither do the players. Save for a few semi-minor tweaks to the formula, the physical nature of the game remains unchanged. Between the foul lines, it’s still baseball. Between the ears is something completely different.

When the owners and players finally came to an agreement and laid out the groundwork for how the 2020 season would be played, I quickly developed a theory. In short, my guess was that batters, compared to pitchers, would have a major advantage because of a perceived lighter load psychologically.

We often, mistakenly, think of the battle between pitcher and batter as a boxing match, man-to-man. The problem with this is that one side is playing mostly offense while the other is playing mostly defense… and it’s not who you’d instinctively think.

Pitchers generally dictate the action. They decide and execute the pitch, while the batter plays defense, reacting on the fly to what’s literally being thrown at him. In my estimation, it’s not an equal load.

There is a lot of build up to a pitch and pitch sequence. There is the decision, the windup, and the execution, and it all takes time and consideration. Batters, meanwhile, have less than four-tenths of a second to react to all of that action. I simply don’t think that’s enough time to get psyched out by the periphery.

Stadiums are going to be eerily quiet. Sure, they’re talking about pumping in noise, but that is even weirder. And I’m not sure whose idea the fan cutouts were, but clearly MLB is in the pocket of Big Cardboard. It’s like they’re so desperately trying to make things seem normal that they just end up making them so freaking weird. Like a really bad toupee.

Anyway, I’m just a dude with a Communications degree, an absurdly cute new quarantine puppy, and a heart of gold — I’m no expert. So, I asked one.

I posited my theory to Bill Cole, the first person in the world to be awarded a Bachelor of Science in Sports Psychology, and a pioneering leader in the field. He is the founder and President of the International Mental Game Coaching Association and has coached or consulted thousands, including Olympic champions and record-holding professional athletes in over 100 sports. He is kind of a big deal. That is why I need him — because if this idea has any legs, I might just throw a few bets on offense for the 2020 season.

Q: You’re the expert, I’d love to know your thoughts on this. It just seems to me,
instinctively, that pitchers will be carrying a heavier burden. What do you think?

Cole: Interesting thesis. Here are some angles, all of which I encounter in my mental game coaching on a regular basis. The key with mental game coaching is that it is a custom approach. Everyone reacts differently.

[With a new, very quiet atmosphere with no fans]

Some pitchers may relish this, at least the ones who get distracted by fan sights and sounds… or take fan trash talk personally.

Some pitchers may simply think, “this is like practice, so I’ll just proceed that way, methodically, calmly.”

Some pitchers may find it too sterile, boring, and demotivating. 

Some pitchers may get up in their heads too much, since there are fewer people to observe in the seats to pass the time between pitches, and it’s too quiet for their tastes.

Whatever a pitchers take on it, they need to be a professional, and rise above the conditions.

Q: In your estimation, what are the new challenges facing batters?

Cole: The batter looks out to the pitcher and sometimes past the pitcher pre-pitch, but fans or no fans, he really only has to react to the pitcher, since his visual gaze past the pitcher is so diffuse that any fan movement in center field has little to no effect. The batter is “watching a predictable movie” as the pitcher moves. So a lack of fans does not really change that “movie.”

Q: What do you expect will be new challenges for pitchers?

Cole: The pitcher, in contrast, looks past the batter, catcher and umpire in a normal game with fans and has potentially distracting movements, colors and sounds to mentally block out. Now, with those fans removed, his visual field is simpler and quieter. In effect, he’s looking at a relatively calmer, almost sterile visual field. In comparison, the pitcher is “looking at a photograph,” the barely moving batter and the still catcher and umpire. That results in less visual distractions for the pitcher.

Q: Thesis be damned, who do you think benefits most from these new conditions?

Cole: With no more moving and unpredictable visual field of fans in the background for both batter and pitcher, I’d say the pitcher may benefit the most.

It’s been a common theme during this pandemic — “TRUST THE EXPERTS.”

Clearly, Cole and I differ on the final point, but here’s some spin that makes us both right:

Cole and I agree that batters will have a closer to normal experience than pitchers. I also agree with his assessment that, with fewer distractions, pitchers will have a much cleaner field of concentration than they did before. If a batter’s conditions remain unchanged and a pitcher’s conditions improve, it is only logical that pitchers would outperform batters. But, we can’t predict how players will react to change. The best we can do is estimate the effect on a case-by-case basis, making educated guesses on each pitcher’s psychological archetype.

Are there more psychologically fragile pitchers in Major League Baseball than not? Hard to figure. Chaos Theory tells us that complex systems can have vast and unpredictable reactions to simple change (at least, that’s how my simple brain has come to understand it). We don’t know how pitchers will react, but we do know the quantity of change is undoubtedly greater for the pitcher.

Maybe I’m rationalizing a failed hypothesis. But, if I’m going to put money on the outcome, I’m taking predictability over chaos each and every time.

Like a stubborn Trump/Biden twitter poll voter, I am bending the facts to fit my preconceived notions.

I’m betting on offense this season.

(Me losing sports bets… some things never change.)

[Bets I like: regular season doubles, 20.5; OVER (-160). Regular season home runs, 19.5; OVER (-190). Regular season highest batting average, .344; OVER (-165). Over .399 batting average (+600). No regular season no-hitters (-210). Odds via Bovada.lv]

Special thanks: Bill Cole, MS, MA, at SportsPsychologyCoaching.com and MentalGameCoach.com.