The Miami Marlins walk off against the Phillies in game one of seven in a five-day-span, 9/10/2020. Photo Credit: Jim Rassol, USATODAY Sports
If you’re a Phillies fan – as I am – the simple mention of the “Marlins” – even out of context – sends you into a soul-shaking, shudder-starting, stuttering and stammering, and stumbling stream of massive panic.
I wish it were without good reason. Yet, the Florida Marlins, the Miami Marlins, the Covid-19-era Marlins… all of the branches of that franchise have consistently and monstrously destroyed the Phillies, and it’s not just a matter of wins and losses – though Philadelphia is just 10-13 (.435) over the last two seasons, heck, they even lost 10 of 18 to the Fish during their World Series campaign in 2008 – it’s how they win. The Marlins never just beat the Phillies – they dramatize it. The Phillies are positively pummeled; and it so often beats them up on a larger scale. Last night was no exception. The Phillies opened up a seven-game series against the Marlins last night with a loss. They had a three-run lead going into the eighth inning, before their very well-known bullpen allowed the Marlins to tie it up. With two outs. Two-out hits are every baseball fan’s favorite when their team hits them; every baseball fan’s devastation when their team gives them up.
So it’s never easy. It never seems to be an example of Phils’ fans saying “we pitched well, they just beat us.” Or, “our bats were competent, theirs were just better.” Not with the Marlins. The Phillies beat themselves. There is a serious stigma. It’s another kind of contagious.
The Miami Marlins walk off against the Phillies in game one of seven during a five-day-span, 9/10/2020. Photo Credit: Jim Rassol, USATODAY Sports
And here they stand. During the strangest season, one that no imagination could conjure, Philadelphia has to face them seven times in five days. The Phillies are just three games behind a Braves team that is carrying a .591 winning percentage (and oh, that also scored 29 runs against the Marlins the day before Philly’s seven-game tussle). Meanwhile, the Marlins are suddenly Wildcard contenders. This series matters. This isn’t the first time the Phillies have had to control their own destiny with the Fish hanging them on the line. One of my most begrudging memories is of the 2006 Phillies, all of Philadelphia and the greater areas had high hopes for making the playoffs in Ryan Howard’s MVP year. The Mets ran away with the division, but the Wildcard was well within reach. It was the Phillies or the Dodgers.
The Phillies’ hopes came down to the last series of the season, which was against, of course, the Marlins. Ironically, these were the Joe Girardi-led Marlins. On Oct. 1, 2006, the Marlins beat the Phillies, 3-2, during the only October baseball the Phils would play, while the Dodgers topped the Giants, 4-3. One-run losses are every baseball fan’s least favorite way to lose; one-run victories are every baseball fan’s favorite way to win. The Phillies ended the season with an 85-77 record. The Cardinals ended the season with an 83-78 record. The Phillies were percentage points away from the same record, and they didn’t make the playoffs.
On this day, in 1939, Bob Feller became the youngest player in the modern era to reach 20 wins. I am a better writer than I am a statistician, but I did stop when I saw that on my calendar this morning. Feller was 20 years old when he reached 20 victories. 2020. And just like that, I’m a numbers person. With last week’s recollections and mass of memories of Tom Seaver and previous eras (and ERAs), the conversation about how baseball has transformed has heightened mightily. There are so many “Remember when a guy pitched more than five innings?”, or, “Remember how Cy Young won more games in a single season than any current starter has ever won in his entire career?” …I’m personally responsible for starting many of these. Baseball fans are insatiable. We’re not going to have that again. The times have changed. We all know this, and we also all have a tremendous time talking about it. Pitchers have developed differently now. What hasn’t been lost among the statistics and numbers and eras is, fortunately, the humanity of a ballplayer. We have not lost that feeling of admiration and respect and, in rare cases, that immense hope and joy when a pitcher takes the mound; not just because we’re confident he’ll win, but because we’re confident in him. In Feller’s era of World War II and an immense state of panic across the globe, he was an example of heroism and humanity in the same breath. On Dec. 7, 1941, the Japanese bombed Pearl Harbor. Bob Feller had a 3-C draft deferment, as he was the sole support of his household. He didn’t have to go right away; the deferment allowed him months to plan before going to war. And yet, two days after the event, he enlisted in the Navy. He was the first American professional athlete to enlist. And he didn’t have to.
Bob Feller, visiting his teammates in 1942. Photo Credit: Zack Meisel, cleveland.com
In a different sort of worldwide outbreak, we have found different ways to cope via hope. No one’s going off to war, but we are still fighting for what we live for. And Shane Bieber of the Cleveland Indians is a great example of a man who is maintaining that sense of audacity and hope in a beleaguered world.
Not only is Bieber a highlight reel for all of Major League Baseball with his season-long winning numbers and in-game mastery of manipulating every single pitch he executes, he is an immensely likable and charismatic personality. In a directionless society, he gives us something to mark our calendars for.
Shane Bieber, the 2019 All-Star MVP. Photo Credit: Jason Miller/Getty Images
In this shortened season, Bieber is 7-0 with a 1.25 ERA, with 94 strikeouts in 57.2 innings pitched. In 6 of 9 of his starts, he has struck out double-digit batters.
And, like Feller, he is always smiling.
This season, a Shane Bieber start is an event. Every curveball starts fireworks, every cutter starts a story line, every slider is a surprise.
Bieber pitched five innings on Sunday night, and he took the win. Bob Feller pitched 279 complete games. The times have changed. The character has not. What a wonderful world to have something to look forward to, new characters to embrace, new dates to set for our future “on-this-day” calendars.
Arguably, the reason the Mets can still call themselves “The Amazin’s.”
I was rushing around during a bartending shift when I came inside and saw the breaking news on the bottom line: “Tom Seaver has passed away at 75.”
75 isn’t young. Tom Seaver was a brilliant pitcher and a beautiful mind, and we know his mind suffered. His diagnosis of dementia went public in 2019, but it’s likely that his suffering was privately present long before. So the shock that stopped me in my steps, maybe, should not have happened. But… I loved Tom Seaver. He was the ultimate version of what I grew up knowing a Major League Baseball player could be, at each of their very best. He had tremendous talent and executed it throughout his career, but he was also a remarkably respectful man who loved his country, served in the Marine Corps, and was a good family man. He played 20 years in Major League Baseball, and not one of them was a disappointment. There were no lull years. He did not fade. Tom Seaver pitched from 1967 (Rookie of the Year) to 1986 for four different teams, the bulk of which was with the Mets. He won the Cy Young award in 1969, 1973, and 1975. He had a career 2.86 ERA, a 311-206 win-loss record, 61 shutouts, and 3,640 career strikeouts.
And this statistic might one-up them all: he had 231 complete games. 231 starts in any one pitching career is unheard of these days; he had 231 complete games. He is a supreme reminder of how magnificent that era of our sport was.
Seaver, in 1975, throwing his 200th strikeout of the season; this, against the Pirates. This was the eighth consecutive year he had 200+ strikeouts. (Photo credit: Newsday/Karen Wiles).
Seaver is the non-caricature Mr. Met. He is the Franchise. He is the best player the New York Mets ever had. He was the first dynamic player for the “other” New York team. The Yankees had DiMaggio, Mantle, Gehrig, Ruth, and a smorgasbord of personalities to love. Seaver was the Mets’ first, and still one of their best… No… He IS still their best. “I don’t wanna be a .500 ballplayer, I wanna be a winning ballplayer.” In 1969, Seaver led the Mets to their first division title and eventual World Series victory. From July 8 to Aug. 10, he went 10-0. He transformed them from the lovable losers to the Miracle Mets. I’m always amazed by how much fun to watch he was, win or lose. The statistics stand, but some of his most incredible performances are not for the history books. My favorite example is among my most prized personal possessions; I have Seaver’s autograph on a black-and-white photograph with the caption “Seaver’s Near No-Hitter.” There were several. He had five one-hitters with the Mets. “Mets being the Mets” has rarely resounded so mightily than by his tough-luck amazin’ performances.
On September 24, 1975, Joe Wallis of the Chicago Cubs broke up Seaver’s no-hit bid with two outs in the 9th, and the Mets went on to lose the game in 11 innings. And yet, that was one of the most exhilarating pitching performances we’ve ever seen. Seaver’s team lost. He did not get a no-hitter. And yet, he was truly and tremendously terrific to watch. And that; that mystifying might of mound presence, that somehow charismatic capture of every strikeout victim; that is what prompted Reggie Williams to say: “Blind men come to the park just to hear him pitch.”
Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw watches a throw during the first inning of the team's baseball game against the San Francisco Giants on Saturday, Aug. 8, 2020, in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)
For years now, I have been tracking Clayton Kershaw’s year-by-year progressive career earned run average – meaning his career ERA at the end of a given season or after his most recent start during a current season.
Clayton Kershaw pitching against the San Francisco Giants on Saturday, Aug. 8, 2020, in Los Angeles. (Photo Credit: Mark J. Terrill/AP Photo).
Often times, I receive rather outlandish requests on twitter – requests that I would need a hefty paycheck to undertake, but in the case of this one, I decided to make an exception, because my own curiosity had piqued, and because I consider Bryn Swartz to be a friend.
Below you will find a chart containing Clayton Kershaw’s progressive career earned run average, to thousandths place, on a game-by-game basis.
Game No.
Date
IP
ER
ERA
ERA +/-
1
May 25, 2008
6
2
3.000
First Start
2
May 30, 2008
3.2
4
5.586
Increased
3
June 4, 2008
5
2
4.909
Decreased
4
June 10, 2008
5.1
2
4.500
Decreased
5
June 15, 2008
4
0
3.750
Decreased
6
June 20, 2008
5
4
4.345
Increased
7
June 26, 2008
4
2
4.364
Increased
8
July 1, 2008
5.2
3
4.422
Increased
9
July 22, 2008
3
5
5.184
Increased
10
July 27, 2008
6
0
4.531
Decreased
11
Aug. 1, 2008
6
0
4.025
Decreased
12
Aug. 7, 2008
7
1
3.709
Decreased
13
Aug. 12, 2008
6
3
3.780
Increased
14
Aug. 17, 2008
6
1
3.592
Decreased
15
Aug. 23, 2008
4
6
4.109
Increased
16
Aug. 28, 2008
2.1
5
4.557
Increased
17
Sept. 2, 2008
7
3
4.500
Decreased
18
Sept. 7, 2008
4
3
4.600
Increased
19
Sept. 13, 2008
6
1
4.406
Decreased
20
Sept. 18, 2008
5
1
4.277
Decreased
21
Sept. 24, 2008
5.2
3
4.303
Increased
22
Sept. 28, 2008
1
0
4.263
Decreased
23
April 9, 2009
5
1
4.154
Decreased
24
April 15, 2009
7
1
3.986
Decreased
25
April 21, 2009
4.1
6
4.282
Increased
26
April 26, 2009
4.2
9
4.756
Increased
27
May 1, 2009
7
0
4.511
Decreased
28
May 6, 2009
5
1
4.415
Decreased
29
May 12, 2009
5
4
4.510
Increased
30
May 17, 2009
7
1
4.362
Decreased
31
May 22, 2009
5
1
4.281
Decreased
32
May 27, 2009
6
3
4.289
Increased
33
June 4, 2009
5.1
2
4.260
Decreased
34
June 10, 2009
2.2
3
4.351
Increased
35
June 16, 2009
5.2
0
4.212
Decreased
36
June 21, 2009
7
0
4.052
Decreased
37
June 26, 2009
6
2
4.019
Decreased
38
July 1, 2009
5
0
3.916
Decreased
39
July 7, 2009
6
0
3.800
Decreased
40
July 12, 2009
6
1
3.733
Decreased
41
July 18, 2009
7
0
3.611
Decreased
42
July 24, 2009
6
2
3.595
Decreased
43
July 29, 2009
8
0
3.469
Decreased
44
Aug. 3, 2009
4
3
3.525
Increased
45
Aug. 8, 2009
7
0
3.422
Decreased
46
Aug. 14, 2009
4.1
4
3.509
Increased
47
Aug. 19, 2009
3.2
2
3.530
Increased
48
Aug. 25, 2009
6.1
2
3.512
Decreased
49
Aug. 30, 2009
7
2
3.487
Decreased
50
Sept. 4, 2009
6
1
3.443
Decreased
51
Sept. 22, 2009
2
0
3.417
Decreased
52
Sept. 27, 2009
4
2
3.433
Increased
53
October 3, 2009
6
0
3.359
Decreased
54
April 7, 2010
4.2
3
3.399
Increased
55
April 13, 2010
5.1
2
3.398
Decreased
56
April 18, 2010
7
1
3.348
Decreased
57
April 24, 2010
6
2
3.341
Decreased
58
April 29, 2010
6.1
2
3.331
Decreased
59
May 4, 2010
1.1
7
3.520
Increased
60
May 9, 2010
8
0
3.432
Decreased
61
May 15, 2010
7
1
3.385
Decreased
62
May 20, 2010
7.1
1
3.338
Decreased
63
May 25, 2010
6
0
3.278
Decreased
64
May 30, 2010
5
2
3.283
Increased
65
June 4, 2010
6.2
3
3.298
Increased
66
June 9, 2010
7
3
3.309
Increased
67
June 16, 2010
7.1
1
3.267
Decreased
68
June 22, 2010
6.2
5
3.329
Increased
69
June 27, 2010
7
2
3.315
Decreased
70
July 3, 2010
5.2
0
3.266
Decreased
71
July 8, 2010
8
2
3.246
Decreased
72
July 15, 2010
4.1
4
3.301
Increased
73
July 20, 2010
6
2
3.297
Decreased
74
July 25, 2010
8
0
3.232
Decreased
75
Aug. 1, 2010
7
2
3.221
Decreased
76
Aug. 6, 2010
6
6
3.303
Increased
77
Aug. 12, 2010
6.2
2
3.294
Decreased
78
Aug. 17, 2010
7
0
3.241
Decreased
79
Aug. 22, 2010
7
3
3.251
Increased
80
Aug. 27, 2010
6
1
3.227
Decreased
81
Sept. 1, 2010
6
2
3.224
Decreased
82
Sept. 7, 2010
7
2
3.214
Decreased
83
Sept. 14, 2010
9
0
3.153
Decreased
84
Sept. 19, 2010
4
4
3.202
Increased
85
Sept. 24, 2010
8
1
3.168
Decreased
86
March 31, 2011
7
0
3.122
Decreased
87
April 5, 2011
6
3
3.139
Increased
88
April 11, 2011
6.2
0
3.097
Decreased
89
April 16, 2011
4.2
5
3.158
Increased
90
April 21, 2011
8.2
3
3.157
Decreased
91
April 26, 2011
5.1
4
3.194
Increased
92
May 2, 2011
7
2
3.185
Decreased
93
May 8, 2011
6.2
1
3.163
Decreased
94
May 13, 2011
7
0
3.122
Decreased
95
May 18, 2011
5
4
3.159
Increased
96
May 23, 2011
6
1
3.141
Decreased
97
May 29, 2011
9
0
3.091
Decreased
98
June 4, 2011
6.2
6
3.149
Increased
99
June 9, 2011
6
6
3.211
Increased
100
June 14, 2011
7
1
3.187
Decreased
101
June 20, 2011
9
0
3.139
Decreased
102
June 26, 2011
9
2
3.122
Decreased
103
July 2, 2011
6
6
3.180
Increased
104
July 7, 2011
8
0
3.139
Decreased
105
July 15, 2011
7
0
3.103
Decreased
106
July 20, 2011
8
0
3.064
Decreased
107
July 26, 2011
6.2
2
3.060
Decreased
108
Aug. 1, 2011
9
2
3.045
Decreased
109
Aug. 7, 2011
6.1
4
3.071
Increased
110
Aug. 13, 2011
8
1
3.047
Decreased
111
Aug. 18, 2011
8
0
3.011
Decreased
112
Aug. 23, 2011
6
0
2.984
Decreased
113
Aug. 29, 2011
9
1
2.957
Decreased
114
Sept. 4, 2011
7
2
2.954
Decreased
115
Sept. 9, 2011
8
0
2.920
Decreased
116
Sept. 14, 2011
5
0
2.899
Decreased
117
Sept. 20, 2011
7.1
1
2.882
Decreased
118
Sept. 25, 2011
7.1
2
2.877
Decreased
119
April 5, 2012
3
0
2.865
Decreased
120
April 10, 2012
7
1
2.850
Decreased
121
April 15, 2012
5.1
3
2.866
Increased
122
April 21, 2012
7
0
2.839
Decreased
123
April 27, 2012
8
2
2.833
Decreased
124
May 2, 2012
7.1
5
2.865
Increased
125
May 8, 2012
8
2
2.858
Decreased
126
May 14, 2012
7
0
2.832
Decreased
127
May 19, 2012
9
0
2.799
Decreased
128
May 25, 2012
7
2
2.797
Decreased
129
May 30, 2012
5.2
5
2.834
Increased
130
June 4, 2012
7
3
2.843
Increased
131
June 9, 2012
7
3
2.852
Increased
132
June 15, 2012
6
4
2.875
Increased
133
June 21, 2012
8
1
2.858
Decreased
134
June 26, 2012
6
2
2.859
Increased
135
July 1, 2012
7
1
2.846
Decreased
136
July 6, 2012
5.1
5
2.882
Increased
137
July 13, 2012
6
1
2.872
Decreased
138
July 18, 2012
8
1
2.855
Decreased
139
July 24, 2012
5.2
8
2.921
Increased
140
July 29, 2012
9
0
2.890
Decreased
141
Aug. 4, 2012
7
1
2.877
Decreased
142
Aug. 10, 2012
6.1
2
2.877
Decreased
143
Aug. 15, 2012
8
3
2.882
Increased
144
Aug. 20, 2012
8
2
2.876
Decreased
145
Aug. 25, 2012
8
2
2.870
Decreased
146
Aug. 30, 2012
6
2
2.871
Increased
147
Sept. 4, 2012
7
1
2.859
Decreased
148
Sept. 11, 2012
7
0
2.837
Decreased
149
Sept. 23, 2012
5
1
2.832
Decreased
150
Sept. 28, 2012
8
0
2.808
Decreased
151
October 3, 2012
8
1
2.793
Decreased
152
April 1, 2013
9
0
2.767
Decreased
153
April 6, 2013
7
0
2.747
Decreased
154
April 12, 2013
7.1
3
2.754
Increased
155
April 17, 2013
5.1
3
2.767
Increased
156
April 23, 2013
5
2
2.771
Increased
157
April 28, 2013
8
0
2.748
Decreased
158
May 3, 2013
7
1
2.738
Decreased
159
May 8, 2013
7
1
2.728
Decreased
160
May 14, 2013
8.2
0
2.704
Decreased
161
May 20, 2013
9
1
2.689
Decreased
162
May 26, 2013
7
4
2.706
Increased
163
May 31, 2013
7
3
2.714
Increased
164
June 5, 2013
6
2
2.716
Increased
165
June 10, 2013
7
1
2.706
Decreased
166
June 15, 2013
7
1
2.697
Decreased
167
June 21, 2013
6
4
2.715
Increased
168
June 26, 2013
8
2
2.712
Decreased
169
July 2, 2013
9
0
2.689
Decreased
170
July 7, 2013
8
1
2.678
Decreased
171
July 12, 2013
7
3
2.685
Increased
172
July 21, 2013
7
2
2.684
Decreased
173
July 26, 2013
8
1
2.673
Decreased
174
July 31, 2013
8
0
2.654
Decreased
175
Aug. 6, 2013
6
2
2.656
Increased
176
Aug. 11, 2013
8
1
2.645
Decreased
177
Aug. 17, 2013
8
0
2.626
Decreased
178
Aug. 22, 2013
8
0
2.608
Decreased
179
Aug. 27, 2013
5.2
1
2.603
Decreased
180
Sept. 2, 2013
5
5
2.631
Increased
181
Sept. 8, 2013
7
2
2.630
Decreased
182
Sept. 13, 2013
7
2
2.630
Decreased
183
Sept. 21, 2013
7
0
2.614
Decreased
184
Sept. 27, 2013
6
0
2.601
Decreased
185
March 22, 2014
6.2
1
2.594
Decreased
186
May 6, 2014
7
0
2.579
Decreased
187
May 11, 2014
7
3
2.586
Increased
188
May 17, 2014
1.2
7
2.635
Increased
189
May 23, 2014
6
0
2.622
Decreased
190
May 28, 2014
7
3
2.629
Increased
191
June 2, 2014
8
2
2.626
Decreased
192
June 8, 2014
5
1
2.623
Decreased
193
June 13, 2014
7
1
2.615
Decreased
194
June 18, 2014
9
0
2.597
Decreased
195
June 24, 2014
8
0
2.580
Decreased
196
June 29, 2014
7
0
2.566
Decreased
197
July 4, 2014
8
0
2.549
Decreased
198
July 10, 2014
9
1
2.539
Decreased
199
July 20, 2014
7
3
2.546
Increased
200
July 26, 2014
9
0
2.528
Decreased
201
July 31, 2014
9
1
2.517
Decreased
202
Aug. 5, 2014
7
3
2.525
Increased
203
Aug. 10, 2014
8
1
2.516
Decreased
204
Aug. 16, 2014
9
3
2.519
Increased
205
Aug. 21, 2014
8
1
2.511
Decreased
206
Aug. 27, 2014
8
0
2.496
Decreased
207
Sept. 2, 2014
8
1
2.488
Decreased
208
Sept. 8, 2014
8
1
2.480
Decreased
209
Sept. 14, 2014
8
2
2.479
Decreased
210
Sept. 19, 2014
5
3
2.489
Increased
211
Sept. 24, 2014
8
1
2.481
Decreased
212
April 6, 2015
6
3
2.490
Increased
213
April 11, 2015
6.1
5
2.511
Increased
214
April 17, 2015
6
1
2.507
Decreased
215
April 22, 2015
6
2
2.509
Increased
216
April 28, 2015
7
2
2.509
Increased
217
May 4, 2015
7.1
3
2.515
Increased
218
May 10, 2015
5.2
5
2.537
Increased
219
May 15, 2015
6.2
3
2.544
Increased
220
May 21, 2015
7.1
4
2.556
Increased
221
May 26, 2015
7
0
2.544
Decreased
222
June 1, 2015
7
2
2.544
Increased
223
June 6, 2015
8
0
2.530
Decreased
224
June 12, 2015
6.2
1
2.524
Decreased
225
June 17, 2015
6
3
2.532
Increased
226
June 22, 2015
7
3
2.539
Increased
227
June 27, 2015
7
1
2.533
Decreased
228
July 3, 2015
7
1
2.527
Decreased
229
July 8, 2015
9
0
2.512
Decreased
230
July 18, 2015
8
0
2.498
Decreased
231
July 23, 2015
9
0
2.484
Decreased
232
Aug. 1, 2015
8
0
2.471
Decreased
233
Aug. 7, 2015
6
4
2.484
Increased
234
Aug. 12, 2015
8
0
2.472
Decreased
235
Aug. 18, 2015
7
1
2.466
Decreased
236
Aug. 23, 2015
8
1
2.459
Decreased
237
Aug. 28, 2015
8
1
2.452
Decreased
238
Sept. 2, 2015
9
1
2.444
Decreased
239
Sept. 8, 2015
7
1
2.439
Decreased
240
Sept. 14, 2015
7
1
2.434
Decreased
241
Sept. 19, 2015
7
3
2.440
Increased
242
Sept. 24, 2015
5
3
2.449
Increased
243
Sept. 29, 2015
9
0
2.436
Decreased
244
October 4, 2015
3.2
0
2.430
Decreased
245
April 4, 2016
7
0
2.420
Decreased
246
April 9, 2016
8
2
2.419
Decreased
247
April 15, 2016
7
2
2.419
Increased
248
April 21, 2016
8
1
2.413
Decreased
249
April 26, 2016
7
5
2.430
Increased
250
May 1, 2016
9
0
2.417
Decreased
251
May 7, 2016
7
2
2.418
Increased
252
May 12, 2016
9
0
2.405
Decreased
253
May 17, 2016
8
1
2.399
Decreased
254
May 23, 2016
9
0
2.386
Decreased
255
May 29, 2016
7.2
2
2.386
Decreased
256
June 4, 2016
6
0
2.377
Decreased
257
June 10, 2016
8
2
2.377
Decreased
258
June 15, 2016
7.1
2
2.377
Increased
259
June 20, 2016
7
1
2.373
Decreased
260
June 26, 2016
6
4
2.385
Increased
261
Sept. 9, 2016
3
2
2.391
Increased
262
Sept. 14, 2016
5
0
2.384
Decreased
263
Sept. 19, 2016
6
0
2.376
Decreased
264
Sept. 24, 2016
7
0
2.367
Decreased
265
October 1, 2016
7
2
2.368
Increased
266
April 3, 2017
7
1
2.363
Decreased
267
April 8, 2017
6
4
2.376
Increased
268
April 14, 2017
8.1
1
2.370
Decreased
269
April 19, 2017
7
2
2.370
Increased
270
April 25, 2017
7
1
2.366
Decreased
271
May 1, 2017
6
3
2.373
Increased
272
May 6, 2017
7.1
1
2.369
Decreased
273
May 12, 2017
7
2
2.369
Increased
274
May 17, 2017
7
0
2.360
Decreased
275
May 23, 2017
9
1
2.354
Decreased
276
May 28, 2017
4.1
4
2.368
Increased
277
June 2, 2017
7
1
2.364
Decreased
278
June 7, 2017
7
1
2.359
Decreased
279
June 13, 2017
7
2
2.360
Increased
280
June 19, 2017
6.1
6
2.381
Increased
281
June 24, 2017
6
0
2.374
Decreased
282
June 29, 2017
7
0
2.365
Decreased
283
July 4, 2017
7
0
2.356
Decreased
284
July 9, 2017
9
2
2.354
Decreased
285
July 18, 2017
7
0
2.346
Decreased
286
July 23, 2017
2
0
2.343
Decreased
287
Sept. 1, 2017
6
0
2.336
Decreased
288
Sept. 7, 2017
3.2
4
2.350
Increased
289
Sept. 12, 2017
6
1
2.347
Decreased
290
Sept. 18, 2017
6
4
2.359
Increased
291
Sept. 24, 2017
8
1
2.354
Decreased
292
Sept. 30, 2017
4
3
2.363
Increased
293
March 29, 2018
6
1
2.360
Decreased
294
April 3, 2018
6
2
2.362
Increased
295
April 8, 2018
7
1
2.358
Decreased
296
April 15, 2018
7
1
2.354
Decreased
297
April 20, 2018
7
4
2.364
Increased
298
April 25, 2018
5
3
2.372
Increased
299
May 1, 2018
6
2
2.374
Increased
300
May 31, 2018
5
1
2.372
Decreased
301
June 23, 2018
3
2
2.378
Increased
302
June 28, 2018
5
1
2.377
Decreased
303
July 3, 2018
6
2
2.378
Increased
304
July 9, 2018
6
0
2.371
Decreased
305
July 15, 2018
6.2
3
2.377
Increased
306
July 21, 2018
6
1
2.374
Decreased
307
July 27, 2018
7.2
1
2.370
Decreased
308
Aug. 2, 2018
6
2
2.372
Increased
309
Aug. 8, 2018
6
2
2.373
Increased
310
Aug. 13, 2018
8
1
2.368
Decreased
311
Aug. 19, 2018
7
1
2.365
Decreased
312
Aug. 25, 2018
8
2
2.364
Decreased
313
Sept. 1, 2018
7
2
2.365
Increased
314
Sept. 7, 2018
6
2
2.367
Increased
315
Sept. 13, 2018
6
3
2.373
Increased
316
Sept. 18, 2018
7
1
2.369
Decreased
317
Sept. 24, 2018
6
3
2.376
Increased
318
Sept. 29, 2018
5
5
2.391
Increased
319
April 15, 2019
7
2
2.392
Increased
320
April 21, 2019
6
2
2.394
Increased
321
April 27, 2019
7
1
2.390
Decreased
322
May 3, 2019
6
3
2.396
Increased
323
May 8, 2019
6.2
4
2.405
Increased
324
May 14, 2019
7
3
2.410
Increased
325
May 21, 2019
6.1
2
2.411
Increased
326
May 27, 2019
6
3
2.417
Increased
327
June 1, 2019
7
0
2.409
Decreased
328
June 7, 2019
7
2
2.410
Increased
329
June 13, 2019
6
3
2.416
Increased
330
June 18, 2019
7
0
2.408
Decreased
331
June 24, 2019
6
4
2.418
Increased
332
June 29, 2019
7
4
2.427
Increased
333
July 5, 2019
7
1
2.423
Decreased
334
July 15, 2019
6
1
2.420
Decreased
335
July 20, 2019
6
0
2.414
Decreased
336
July 27, 2019
6
2
2.415
Increased
337
Aug. 1, 2019
6
2
2.417
Increased
338
Aug. 6, 2019
7
1
2.413
Decreased
339
Aug. 14, 2019
7
0
2.406
Decreased
340
Aug. 20, 2019
6
3
2.411
Increased
341
Aug. 25, 2019
7
3
2.416
Increased
342
Aug. 31, 2019
5
5
2.431
Increased
343
Sept. 6, 2019
4
3
2.438
Increased
344
Sept. 13, 2019
6.1
2
2.439
Increased
345
Sept. 20, 2019
6
4
2.449
Increased
346
Sept. 26, 2019
6
0
2.442
Decreased
347
Sept. 29, 2019
1
0
2.441
Decreased
348
Aug. 2, 2020
5.2
0
2.435
Decreased
349
Aug. 8, 2020
4.1
4
2.446
Increased
350
Aug. 14, 2020
7
1
2.443
Decreased
351
Aug. 20, 2020
7
1
2.439
Decreased
352
Aug. 27, 2020
6
0
2.433
Decreased
353
Sept. 3, 2020
6
0
2.427
Decreased
354
Sept. 9, 2020
5
3
2.433
Increased
355
Sept. 14, 2020
6.1
3
2.438
Increased
356
Sept. 19, 2020
7
1
2.435
Decreased
357
Sept. 25, 2020
4
1
2.434
Decreased
Kershaw has pitched in 353 career games, three of which were relief appearances, his career earned run average increased after 132of them and decreased after 224 of them (with the remaining game being the first start of his career).
This was a fun and a relatively quick and easy project, but, with apologies to Bryn, someone is going to have to pay me if you want to see this inning-by-inning or pitch-by-pitch.
San Francisco Giants’ Alex Dickerson tied a major league record with five extra-base hits in the 23-5 rout of the Rockies this evening. Below you will find the complete list of those with whom he shares the record.
Alex Dickerson’s first of three home runs and five extra-base hits against the Rockies on Sept. 1, 2020 (Photo Credit: David Zalubowski/Associated Press).
Sept. 2, 2020 – Giants’ Alex Dickerson
July 20, 2018 – Cardinals’ Matt Carpenter
Sept. 3, 2017 – Indians’ Jose Ramirez
Stats aside: Jose Ramirez stands alone as the only player to do so with extra-base hits from both sides of the plate. He could have had an opportunity to become the only player with six extra-base hits in a game, but Gio Urshela pinch ran for him after his fifth extra-base hit, an eighth inning double, Urshela would come to the plate and walk in the ninth inning.
June 27, 2016 – Chicago Cubs’ Kris Bryant
Aug. 15, 2015 – Boston Red Sox’ Jackie Bradley Jr.
May 8, 2012 – Texas Rangers’ Josh Hamilton
July 30, 2008 – Cleveland Indians’ Kelly Shoppach
May 23, 2002 – Los Angeles Dodgers’ Shawn Green
Aug. 28, 1977 – Los Angeles Dodgers’ Steve Garvey
Aug. 1, 1970 – Pittsburgh Pirates’ Willie Stargell
July 31, 1954 – Milwaukee Braves’ Joe Adcock
July 14, 1946 – Cleveland Indians’ Lou Boudreau (Game One of a doubleheader; Player-Manager)
Aug. 15, 1889 – Cleveland Spiders’ Larry Twitchell
July 9, 1885 – Chicago White Stockings’ George Gore
June 25, 1885 – Philadelphia Athletics’ George Strief (American Association)
Tonight, Jose Abreu became the first player in White Sox franchise history to hit five home runs over a two-game span… a tweet that I had sent earlier this evening, to which I received the response “I’d imagine that hasn’t happened too many times.”
Jose Abreu connects on his fourth of five home runs in two games (Photo Credit: Jeff Haynes/AP Sports)
Alas, I am cursed, and after about four minutes, I just had to know, I had to figure it out.
My curse is your entertainment…
Players to hit five home runs over a two-game span:
Aug. 22-23, 2020 – White Sox’ Jose Abreu
Sept. 14-15, 2019 – Dodgers’ Yasiel Puig
Sept. 2-4, 2018 – Diamondbacks’ J.D. Martinez (DNP on Sept. 3rd; four-homer game on Sept. 4th)
May 31-June 1, 2016 – Red Sox’ Mookie Betts
May 6-8, 2015 – Nationals’ Bryce Harper (no game on May 7th)
Aug. 9-10, 2013 – Athletics’ Josh Reddick
May 7-8, 2012 – Rangers’ Josh Hamilton (four-homer game on May 8th)
July 19-20, 2004 – Indians’ Travis Hafner
Aug. 17-18, 2002 – Rangers’ Alex Rodriguez
July 21-23, 2002 – Red Sox’ Nomar Garciaparra (no game on July 22nd)
May 23-24, 2002 – Dodgers’ Shawn Green (four-homer game on May 23rd)
Stats aside: Green is one of the more remarkable cases here, as he hit four homers on May 23, 2002, one the next game, and two the game after that. He was held homerless the game prior to his four-homer performance, but had a two-homer game just before that. In all, he hit seven home runs over a three-game span and nine home runs over a five-game span. His five-game slugging percentage was 2.095; his three-game slugging percentage was 2.538.
May 19-20, 2001 – Giants’ Barry Bonds
April 28-29, 2001 – Brewers’ Geoff Jenkins
May 17-18, 1999 – Mariners’ Edgar Martinez
Sept. 15-16, 1998 – Indians’ Manny Ramirez
April 25-26, 1997 – Indians’ Matt Williams
Sept. 18-19, 1995 – Indians’ Albert Belle
June 10-11, 1995 – Athletics’ Mark McGwire
Sept. 3-4, 1985 – Mets’ Gary Carter
July 27-28, 1979 – Cubs’ Dave Kingman
May 19-20, 1976 – Red Sox’ Carl Yastrzemski
April 17-18, 1976 – Phillies’ Mike Schmidt (four-homer game on April 17th) Aug. 1, 1972 – Padres’ Nate Colbert (doubleheader)
Sept. 8-10, 1968 – Cubs’ Billy Williams (no game on Sept. 9th)
July 30-31, 1954 – Braves’ Joe Adcock (four-homer game on July 31st) May 2, 1954 – Cardinals’ Stan Musial (doubleheader) Sept. 1-2, 1951 – Giants’ Don Mueller
Sept. 11-12, 1947 – Pirates’ Ralph Kiner
Aug. 15-16, 1947 – Pirates’ Ralph Kiner
May 23-24, 1947 – Yankees’ Tony Lazzeri
May 5-6, 1925 – Tigers’ Ty Cobb
Aug. 5-6, 1884 – White Stockings’ Cap Anson
Stats aside: The White Stockings played their home games at Lakefront Park in 1884, that season, it had dimensions that would make a modern day little leaguer salivate: 180 feet to the left field foul pole, 280 feet to the left-center, 300 feet to center field, 252 feet to right-center, and 196 feet to the right field foul pole. Previously, balls hit over the fence were automatic doubles, but not in 1884. Anson hit all but one of his 21 home runs that season at home.
Perhaps what was most surprising for me in putting together this list was that only four of the 18 players to hit four home runs in a single game managed to hit even just one in the game before or the game after… though Bobby Lowe came close in 1894, when he homered off Charlie Petty on May 28, 1894, then hit four-homers off Elton Chamberlain on the day of his Beaneaters’ very next game, May 30, 1894; however, he did so in the second game of a twin bill, being held homerless in the first game.
And for the record, no player has ever hit six home runs over a two-game span, yet…
The Padres became the first team in baseball history to hit a grand slam in four straight games, here is a complete list of their total grand slams by season… with a few fun tidbits along the way.
Photo Credit: Tom Pennington/Getty Images
2020 – 6
Stats aside: Fernando Tatis’s grand slam, swinging on a 3-0 count with the Padres holding seven runs, on Aug. 17, 2020, is the largest lead a player has hit a grand slam while swinging 3-0 since pinch count data has become readily available (1988)… and it was awesome.
Stats aside: With the Padres leading the Dodgers, 1-0, and the bases loaded in the top of the 5th inning, Phil Nevin hit a 1-1 pitch from Hideo Nomo out for his seventh career grand slam – he remains the franchise’s all-time leader.
2003 – 3
Stats aside: On June 20, 2003, Rondell White was facing Jeff Nelson with the bases loaded, two outs, two strikes, and the Padres trailing the Mariners, 3-1. He hit a deep flyball to left field to score Mark Kotsay, Mark Loretta, and Ryan Klesko – the only time in franchise history that a player hit a walk-off grand slam with the Padres down to their last strike.
2002 – 5
2001 – 10 (franchise record)
Oct. 6 – Phil Nevin Sept. 27 – Phil Nevin Sept. 1 – Ray Lankford Aug. 25 – Bubba Trammell Aug. 2 – Ryan Klesko July 28 – Phil Nevin July 14 – Damian Jackson July 4 – Bubba Trammell June 14 – Phil Nevin May 1 – Ben Davis
2000 – 4
1999 – 1
Stats aside: all three of Tony Gwynn’s career grand slams were go-ahead grand slams with the Padres either trailing or tied – Mr. Padre made them count. Aug. 22, 1995, off Tommy Greene with the Padres trailing the Phillies, 3-0, in the top of the 5th inning; June 26, 1997, off Mark Guthrie with the Padres and the Dodgers tied, 4-4, in the top of the 7th inning; Aug. 4, 1999, off Ken Mercker with the Padres trailing the Cardinals, 3-2, in the top of the 5th inning.
1998 – 4
1997 – 3
Stats aside: The Friars first grand slam of 1997 was a go-ahead, inside-the-park grand slam by Tony Gwynn, scoring on the play was a roll call of stars – Greg Vaughn, Rickey Henderson, and Steve Finley… but here is where it gets fun: this was Tony Gwynn’s second career inside-the-park homer, he would finish his career with more inside-the-park home runs than the Man of Steal, who had just one. And just to continue down the wormhole, unrelated to slams, Gwynn stole a career-high five bases on Sept. 20, 1986. At that point he had higher single-game stolen base total than Rickey, as he is wont to do, would be outdone by no one when it came to thefts, not even Mr. Padre, and he stole five of his own in a game on July 29, 1989, a game in which he went 0-for-0 with four walks and five stolen bases, but stole each base while the Athletics were trailing at least eight runs and as many as 12 runs at the time of his five swipes.
1996 – 6
1995 – 9
Stats aside: Bip Roberts hit the first ever walk-off grand slam in franchise history on May 20, 1995 – with the Padres trailing the Pirates, 6-5, with two out in the bottom of the 9th inning, he took Dan Miceli’s first pitch deep, scoring Andujar Cedeno, Ray Holbert, and Melvin Nieves, earning Fernando Valenzuela his first career win as a member of the Padres.
Stats aside: San Diego tallied just four grand slams between 1974 and 1975, half of them were hit by Willie McCovey… he hit 18 career grand slams, and in 121 career games against the Padres, he hit none.
1974 – 2
1973 – 0
1972 – 3
1971 – 2
1970 – 3
Stats aside: Mike Corkins became the first, and remains the only, pitcher in franchise history to hit a grand slam, taking Jim Merritt of the Reds deep to put San Diego ahead 7-0. Corkins and the Padres would hold on to beat the Reds narrowly, 15-2.
1969 – 4
Stats aside: First ever grand slam in franchise history came on May 2, 1969, by pinch-hitter Al Ferrera against Cincinnati’s George Culver at Crosley Field.
This list made easy by stathead, the most powerful research tool in sports.
I am working on some league-adjusted numbers. Below you will find 2019 on-base percentage for qualified batters relative to the major league average (without pitchers) – shown as a percentage above league average, e.g. Mike Trout led with an on-base percentage that is 34.0 percent better than league average.
(Photo credit: Norm Hall/Getty Images)
Player
Tm
G
DE-
TOB
OBP
lgDE-
lgTOB
lgOBP
rOBP
Mike Trout
LAA
134
600
263
0.438
180880
59176
0.327
34.0%
Christian Yelich
MIL
130
580
249
0.429
180880
59176
0.327
31.2%
Alex Bregman
HOU
156
690
292
0.423
180880
59176
0.327
29.4%
Anthony Rendon
WSN
146
646
266
0.412
180880
59176
0.327
25.9%
Cody Bellinger
LAD
156
660
268
0.406
180880
59176
0.327
24.1%
Anthony Rizzo
CHC
146
613
248
0.405
180880
59176
0.327
23.7%
Juan Soto
WSN
150
659
264
0.401
180880
59176
0.327
22.5%
Carlos Santana
CLE
158
686
272
0.397
180880
59176
0.327
21.2%
Nelson Cruz
MIN
120
520
204
0.392
180880
59176
0.327
19.9%
Mookie Betts
BOS
150
706
276
0.391
180880
59176
0.327
19.5%
Freddie Freeman
ATL
158
692
269
0.389
180880
59176
0.327
18.8%
Ketel Marte
ARI
144
628
244
0.389
180880
59176
0.327
18.8%
Jeff McNeil
NYM
133
567
218
0.384
180880
59176
0.327
17.5%
Xander Bogaerts
BOS
155
698
268
0.384
180880
59176
0.327
17.4%
George Springer
HOU
122
556
213
0.383
180880
59176
0.327
17.1%
J.D. Martinez
BOS
146
656
251
0.383
180880
59176
0.327
17.0%
Kris Bryant
CHC
147
634
242
0.382
180880
59176
0.327
16.7%
Yasmani Grandal
MIL
153
632
240
0.380
180880
59176
0.327
16.1%
Josh Donaldson
ATL
155
659
250
0.379
180880
59176
0.327
16.0%
Nolan Arenado
COL
155
662
251
0.379
180880
59176
0.327
15.9%
Luke Voit
NYY
118
510
193
0.378
180880
59176
0.327
15.7%
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
134
546
206
0.377
180880
59176
0.327
15.3%
DJ LeMahieu
NYY
145
654
245
0.375
180880
59176
0.327
14.5%
Max Muncy
LAD
141
589
220
0.374
180880
59176
0.327
14.2%
Bryce Harper
PHI
157
682
254
0.372
180880
59176
0.327
13.8%
Michael Brantley
HOU
148
637
237
0.372
180880
59176
0.327
13.7%
Justin Turner
LAD
135
549
204
0.372
180880
59176
0.327
13.6%
Shin-Soo Choo
TEX
151
660
245
0.371
180880
59176
0.327
13.5%
Marcus Semien
OAK
162
747
276
0.369
180880
59176
0.327
12.9%
Tommy Pham
TBR
145
654
241
0.369
180880
59176
0.327
12.6%
Yoan Moncada
CHW
132
558
205
0.367
180880
59176
0.327
12.3%
Josh Bell
PIT
143
613
225
0.367
180880
59176
0.327
12.2%
Ronald Acuna Jr.
ATL
156
712
260
0.365
180880
59176
0.327
11.6%
Adam Eaton
WSN
151
647
236
0.365
180880
59176
0.327
11.5%
Charlie Blackmon
COL
140
634
231
0.364
180880
59176
0.327
11.4%
Rhys Hoskins
PHI
160
703
256
0.364
180880
59176
0.327
11.3%
Austin Meadows
TBR
138
591
215
0.364
180880
59176
0.327
11.2%
Trey Mancini
BAL
154
679
247
0.364
180880
59176
0.327
11.2%
Trevor Story
COL
145
656
238
0.363
180880
59176
0.327
10.9%
Michael Conforto
NYM
151
648
235
0.363
180880
59176
0.327
10.9%
Kolten Wong
STL
148
543
196
0.361
180880
59176
0.327
10.3%
Rafael Devers
BOS
156
701
253
0.361
180880
59176
0.327
10.3%
Eugenio Suarez
CIN
159
662
237
0.358
180880
59176
0.327
9.4%
Pete Alonso
NYM
161
693
248
0.358
180880
59176
0.327
9.4%
Tim Anderson
CHW
123
518
185
0.357
180880
59176
0.327
9.2%
Joey Votto
CIN
142
608
217
0.357
180880
59176
0.327
9.1%
Jorge Polanco
MIN
153
702
250
0.356
180880
59176
0.327
8.9%
Jorge Soler
KCR
162
676
239
0.354
180880
59176
0.327
8.1%
Kevin Newman
PIT
130
529
187
0.353
180880
59176
0.327
8.1%
Trea Turner
WSN
122
569
201
0.353
180880
59176
0.327
8.0%
Jose Altuve
HOU
124
547
193
0.353
180880
59176
0.327
7.8%
Ozzie Albies
ATL
160
702
247
0.352
180880
59176
0.327
7.5%
Wilson Ramos
NYM
141
524
184
0.351
180880
59176
0.327
7.3%
Matt Olson
OAK
127
547
192
0.351
180880
59176
0.327
7.3%
David Fletcher
LAA
154
652
228
0.350
180880
59176
0.327
6.9%
Whit Merrifield
KCR
162
735
256
0.348
180880
59176
0.327
6.5%
Christian Walker
ARI
152
603
210
0.348
180880
59176
0.327
6.5%
Hunter Dozier
KCR
139
586
204
0.348
180880
59176
0.327
6.4%
Miguel Cabrera
DET
136
549
190
0.346
180880
59176
0.327
5.8%
Paul Goldschmidt
STL
161
680
235
0.346
180880
59176
0.327
5.6%
Dexter Fowler
STL
150
573
198
0.346
180880
59176
0.327
5.6%
Alex Gordon
KCR
150
632
218
0.345
180880
59176
0.327
5.4%
Ryan Braun
MIL
144
504
173
0.343
180880
59176
0.327
4.9%
Yuli Gurriel
HOU
144
612
210
0.343
180880
59176
0.327
4.9%
Andrew Benintendi
BOS
138
612
210
0.343
180880
59176
0.327
4.9%
Jason Heyward
CHC
147
589
202
0.343
180880
59176
0.327
4.8%
Starling Marte
PIT
132
584
200
0.342
180880
59176
0.327
4.7%
Asdrubal Cabrera
TOT
131
514
176
0.342
180880
59176
0.327
4.7%
Brian Anderson
MIA
126
520
178
0.342
180880
59176
0.327
4.6%
Matt Chapman
OAK
156
670
229
0.342
180880
59176
0.327
4.5%
Daniel Vogelbach
SEA
144
558
190
0.341
180880
59176
0.327
4.1%
Kyle Schwarber
CHC
155
610
207
0.339
180880
59176
0.327
3.7%
Brandon Belt
SFG
156
616
209
0.339
180880
59176
0.327
3.7%
Jonathan Villar
BAL
162
711
241
0.339
180880
59176
0.327
3.6%
Joc Pederson
LAD
149
514
174
0.339
180880
59176
0.327
3.5%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR
123
514
174
0.339
180880
59176
0.327
3.5%
Nicholas Castellanos
TOT
151
664
224
0.337
180880
59176
0.327
3.1%
Gleyber Torres
NYY
144
603
203
0.337
180880
59176
0.327
2.9%
Adam Frazier
PIT
152
604
203
0.336
180880
59176
0.327
2.7%
Max Kepler
MIN
134
596
200
0.336
180880
59176
0.327
2.6%
Francisco Lindor
CLE
143
653
219
0.335
180880
59176
0.327
2.5%
Corey Seager
LAD
134
541
181
0.335
180880
59176
0.327
2.3%
Manny Machado
SDP
156
661
221
0.334
180880
59176
0.327
2.2%
Cesar Hernandez
PHI
161
667
222
0.333
180880
59176
0.327
1.7%
Avisail Garcia
TBR
125
530
176
0.332
180880
59176
0.327
1.5%
Miguel Rojas
MIA
132
525
174
0.331
180880
59176
0.327
1.3%
José Abreu
CHW
159
693
229
0.330
180880
59176
0.327
1.0%
Hanser Alberto
BAL
139
547
180
0.329
180880
59176
0.327
0.6%
Ryan McMahon
COL
141
538
177
0.329
180880
59176
0.327
0.6%
Mike Moustakas
MIL
143
584
192
0.329
180880
59176
0.327
0.5%
Domingo Santana
SEA
121
505
166
0.329
180880
59176
0.327
0.5%
Marcell Ozuna
STL
130
549
180
0.328
180880
59176
0.327
0.2%
J.T. Realmuto
PHI
145
592
194
0.328
180880
59176
0.327
0.2%
Yasiel Puig
TOT
149
611
200
0.327
180880
59176
0.327
0.1%
Jose Ramirez
CLE
129
542
177
0.327
180880
59176
0.327
-0.2%
Victor Robles
WSN
155
611
199
0.326
180880
59176
0.327
-0.4%
Brett Gardner
NYY
141
550
179
0.325
180880
59176
0.327
-0.5%
Dansby Swanson
ATL
127
544
177
0.325
180880
59176
0.327
-0.5%
Kole Calhoun
LAA
152
631
205
0.325
180880
59176
0.327
-0.7%
Evan Longoria
SFG
129
508
165
0.325
180880
59176
0.327
-0.7%
Lorenzo Cain
MIL
148
622
202
0.325
180880
59176
0.327
-0.7%
Danny Santana
TEX
130
510
165
0.324
180880
59176
0.327
-1.1%
Amed Rosario
NYM
157
653
211
0.323
180880
59176
0.327
-1.2%
Jean Segura
PHI
144
617
199
0.323
180880
59176
0.327
-1.4%
Colin Moran
PIT
149
503
162
0.322
180880
59176
0.327
-1.6%
Christian Vazquez
BOS
138
518
166
0.320
180880
59176
0.327
-2.0%
Eduardo Escobar
ARI
158
699
224
0.320
180880
59176
0.327
-2.0%
Josh Reddick
HOU
141
546
174
0.319
180880
59176
0.327
-2.6%
Paul DeJong
STL
159
664
211
0.318
180880
59176
0.327
-2.9%
José Iglesias
CIN
146
529
168
0.318
180880
59176
0.327
-2.9%
Yolmer Sanchez
CHW
149
548
174
0.318
180880
59176
0.327
-2.9%
Jackie Bradley Jr.
BOS
147
564
179
0.317
180880
59176
0.327
-3.0%
Willy Adames
TBR
152
581
184
0.317
180880
59176
0.327
-3.2%
Nick Ahmed
ARI
158
624
197
0.316
180880
59176
0.327
-3.5%
Javier Baez
CHC
138
561
177
0.316
180880
59176
0.327
-3.6%
Eloy Jimenez
CHW
122
504
159
0.315
180880
59176
0.327
-3.6%
Elvis Andrus
TEX
147
648
203
0.313
180880
59176
0.327
-4.2%
Adam Jones
ARI
137
527
165
0.313
180880
59176
0.327
-4.3%
Renato Nunez
BAL
151
599
186
0.311
180880
59176
0.327
-5.1%
Eric Hosmer
SDP
160
667
207
0.310
180880
59176
0.327
-5.1%
Franmil Reyes
TOT
150
548
170
0.310
180880
59176
0.327
-5.2%
Leury Garcia
CHW
140
607
188
0.310
180880
59176
0.327
-5.3%
Albert Pujols
LAA
131
545
166
0.305
180880
59176
0.327
-6.9%
Jason Kipnis
CLE
121
506
154
0.304
180880
59176
0.327
-7.0%
Brandon Crawford
SFG
147
560
170
0.304
180880
59176
0.327
-7.2%
Jurickson Profar
OAK
139
518
156
0.301
180880
59176
0.327
-7.9%
Starlin Castro
MIA
162
676
203
0.300
180880
59176
0.327
-8.2%
Eddie Rosario
MIN
137
590
177
0.300
180880
59176
0.327
-8.3%
Mallex Smith
SEA
134
564
169
0.300
180880
59176
0.327
-8.4%
Freddy Galvis
TOT
147
588
174
0.296
180880
59176
0.327
-9.5%
Khris Davis
OAK
133
533
156
0.293
180880
59176
0.327
-10.5%
Kevin Pillar
TOT
161
645
185
0.287
180880
59176
0.327
-12.3%
Orlando Arcia
MIL
152
544
154
0.283
180880
59176
0.327
-13.5%
Rougned Odor
TEX
145
580
164
0.283
180880
59176
0.327
-13.6%
Randal Grichuk
TOR
151
628
176
0.280
180880
59176
0.327
-14.3%
This is simply a beta run – and to be honest, I am not even sure if anyone else has ever done this – but my intention is to eventually adjust by position and then by every individual pitcher faced in each plate appearance; however, at least for on-base percentage, I do not think that I will use a ballpark factor; though, I may consider it.
End state will be to provide these numbers – likely others, e.g. home run percentage – both historically, daily in season, and eventually live… if I can manage to figure that one out.
Any feedback (or help) is more than welcome, if you haven’t done so yet, please tweet me or comment below by signing up for the site – it is still free, for now…
June 25, 2021 – Juniors (Tatís with three)
June 13, 2021 – Juniors
June 12, 2021 – Juniors
May 21, 2021 – Juniors (Vlad with two)
April 4, 2021 – Juniors
July 28, 2020 – Juniors
July 30, 2019 – Juniors
July 27, 2019 – Juniors
July 20, 2019 – Juniors
June 29, 2019 – Juniors
April 19, 2003 – Seniors (teammates)
July 1, 2002 – Seniors (teammates)
July 13, 2000 – Seniors (Tatís with two)
April 26, 2000 – Seniors
April 21, 2000 – Seniors (Vlad with two)
April 6, 2000 – Seniors
Oct. 1, 1999 – Seniors
Sept. 21, 1999 – Seniors
Sept. 15, 1999 – Seniors
Aug. 13, 1999 – Seniors
July 22, 1999 – Seniors (Tatís with two)
July 10, 1999 – Seniors
June 29, 1999 – Seniors
May 22, 1999 – Seniors
May 4, 1999 – Seniors
April 23, 1999 – Seniors (Tatís, two grand slams in one inning game)
April 5, 1999 – Seniors
Aug. 28, 1998 – Seniors
Aug. 14, 1998 – Seniors
Baseball is back, but things have changed. Maybe you’ve noticed.
Ronald Acuna Jr. during batting practice at Coors Field (via Kamen Guentchev at Wiki Commons).
Remember when the notion of a National League DH, playoff expansion, and pitch timers made baseball traditionalists spit out their Cracker Jack? How quaint.
We just spent three months cheering on marbles and watching the world’s greatest athletes play video games. The best sports all quarantine was probably a toss-up between the Jordan documentary and The Floor is Lava on Netflix. None of this stuff really ever came close to the methadone we required to get us through the tough times. Are we the same sports fans we once were? I’m not sure. I’m scared.
I used to instinctively turn on ESPN whenever I picked up the remote. Now, I wonder — how did the hosts on all those debate shows consistently have opposite opinions from one another on every single topic? How many of Stephen A. Smith’s “quite franklies” were (gulp) never quite frankly at all? I never pondered these things before. I never had to. I just let the morphine drip. I see clearly now — well, technically my vision’s a little blurry due to high cholesterol, since the country outlawed exercise and Chester Cheetah became my certified emotional support animal.
It’s been a long strange trip, but today, Major League Baseball is back. We could argue the merits of the new rules ad nauseam, but I’m not really interested in all of that. As I try to project the 2020 season, and maybe put in a few futures bets, it’s not the added baserunner in extra innings, or the DH tacked on to NL rosters that is moving my needle. Rather, what has me curious is what has been taken away from the game:
YOU!
With no fans in the stands, ballplayers will find themselves playing real-life baseball in long-forgotten conditions. They’re facing a kind of quiet they probably haven’t experienced since those inconvenient weekday Little League games, when the only crowd consisted of the carpool parent with a thermos of Tito’s, and that weird guy, Brian, who didn’t have a kid on the team.
We don’t know what to expect, but neither do the players. Save for a few semi-minor tweaks to the formula, the physical nature of the game remains unchanged. Between the foul lines, it’s still baseball. Between the ears is something completely different.
When the owners and players finally came to an agreement and laid out the groundwork for how the 2020 season would be played, I quickly developed a theory. In short, my guess was that batters, compared to pitchers, would have a major advantage because of a perceived lighter load psychologically.
We often, mistakenly, think of the battle between pitcher and batter as a boxing match, man-to-man. The problem with this is that one side is playing mostly offense while the other is playing mostly defense… and it’s not who you’d instinctively think.
Pitchers generally dictate the action. They decide and execute the pitch, while the batter plays defense, reacting on the fly to what’s literally being thrown at him. In my estimation, it’s not an equal load.
There is a lot of build up to a pitch and pitch sequence. There is the decision, the windup, and the execution, and it all takes time and consideration. Batters, meanwhile, have less than four-tenths of a second to react to all of that action. I simply don’t think that’s enough time to get psyched out by the periphery.
Stadiums are going to be eerily quiet. Sure, they’re talking about pumping in noise, but that is even weirder. And I’m not sure whose idea the fan cutouts were, but clearly MLB is in the pocket of Big Cardboard. It’s like they’re so desperately trying to make things seem normal that they just end up making them so freaking weird. Like a really bad toupee.
Anyway, I’m just a dude with a Communications degree, an absurdly cute new quarantine puppy, and a heart of gold — I’m no expert. So, I asked one.
I posited my theory to Bill Cole, the first person in the world to be awarded a Bachelor of Science in Sports Psychology, and a pioneering leader in the field. He is the founder and President of the International Mental Game Coaching Association and has coached or consulted thousands, including Olympic champions and record-holding professional athletes in over 100 sports. He is kind of a big deal. That is why I need him — because if this idea has any legs, I might just throw a few bets on offense for the 2020 season.
Q: You’re the expert, I’d love to know your thoughts on this. It just seems to me, instinctively, that pitchers will be carrying a heavier burden. What do you think?
Cole: Interesting thesis. Here are some angles, all of which I encounter in my mental game coaching on a regular basis. The key with mental game coaching is that it is a custom approach. Everyone reacts differently.
[With a new, very quiet atmosphere with no fans]
Some pitchers may relish this, at least the ones who get distracted by fan sights and sounds… or take fan trash talk personally.
Some pitchers may simply think, “this is like practice, so I’ll just proceed that way, methodically, calmly.”
Some pitchers may find it too sterile, boring, and demotivating.
Some pitchers may get up in their heads too much, since there are fewer people to observe in the seats to pass the time between pitches, and it’s too quiet for their tastes.
Whatever a pitchers take on it, they need to be a professional, and rise above the conditions.
Q: In your estimation, what are the new challenges facing batters?
Cole: The batter looks out to the pitcher and sometimes past the pitcher pre-pitch, but fans or no fans, he really only has to react to the pitcher, since his visual gaze past the pitcher is so diffuse that any fan movement in center field has little to no effect. The batter is “watching a predictable movie” as the pitcher moves. So a lack of fans does not really change that “movie.”
Q: What do you expect will be new challenges for pitchers?
Cole: The pitcher, in contrast, looks past the batter, catcher and umpire in a normal game with fans and has potentially distracting movements, colors and sounds to mentally block out. Now, with those fans removed, his visual field is simpler and quieter. In effect, he’s looking at a relatively calmer, almost sterile visual field. In comparison, the pitcher is “looking at a photograph,” the barely moving batter and the still catcher and umpire. That results in less visual distractions for the pitcher.
Q: Thesis be damned, who do you think benefits most from these new conditions?
Cole: With no more moving and unpredictable visual field of fans in the background for both batter and pitcher, I’d say the pitcher may benefit the most.
It’s been a common theme during this pandemic — “TRUST THE EXPERTS.”
Clearly, Cole and I differ on the final point, but here’s some spin that makes us both right:
Cole and I agree that batters will have a closer to normal experience than pitchers. I also agree with his assessment that, with fewer distractions, pitchers will have a much cleaner field of concentration than they did before. If a batter’s conditions remain unchanged and a pitcher’s conditions improve, it is only logical that pitchers would outperform batters. But, we can’t predict how players will react to change. The best we can do is estimate the effect on a case-by-case basis, making educated guesses on each pitcher’s psychological archetype.
Are there more psychologically fragile pitchers in Major League Baseball than not? Hard to figure. Chaos Theory tells us that complex systems can have vast and unpredictable reactions to simple change (at least, that’s how my simple brain has come to understand it). We don’t know how pitchers will react, but we do know the quantity of change is undoubtedly greater for the pitcher.
Maybe I’m rationalizing a failed hypothesis. But, if I’m going to put money on the outcome, I’m taking predictability over chaos each and every time.
Like a stubborn Trump/Biden twitter poll voter, I am bending the facts to fit my preconceived notions.
I’m betting on offense this season.
(Me losing sports bets… some things never change.)
[Bets I like: regular season doubles, 20.5; OVER (-160). Regular season home runs, 19.5; OVER (-190). Regular season highest batting average, .344; OVER (-165). Over .399 batting average (+600). No regular season no-hitters (-210). Odds via Bovada.lv]